Trial reportThe New England journal of medicine2002
Reduction in the incidence of type 2 diabetes with lifestyle intervention or metformin.
Trial report in The New England journal of medicine, 2002. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It reports registered trial NCT00004992. Cited by 6,567 papers, 10 of them syntheses that pooled it.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Diabetes Prevention Program Outcomes Study
Open the trial in the graphThe Effects of Metformin on Vascular Structure and Function in Subjects With the Metabolic Syndrome (MET Trial)
Open the trial in the graphEffect of Linagliptin + Metformin vs Metformin Alone on the Role of Pancreatic Islet Function, Insulin Resistance and Markers of Cardiovascular Risk in Patients With Prediabetes: Randomized Clinical Trial
A Prospective, Randomized, Parallel-group, Adaptive Design Phase IIb/III, Multicenter Study, to Assess the Efficacy of Polychemotherapy for Inducing Remission of Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes.
Effect of Metformin on Healthy Live Birth After In-vitro Fertilization in Women With Prediabetes Mellitus: a Multicenter Double-blind Placebo Controlled Randomized Trial
Effectiveness Study of a Lifestyle Intervention Versus Metformin in Mothers With Recent Gestational Diabetes
Evaluation of Rosiglitazone in Reversing Metabolic Defects of Pre-Diabetes and Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus
Use of MCT Oil for Enhancement of Weight Loss and Glycemic Control in Obese Diabetic Patients 2002-292G
Weight Management in Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis (NASH)
Virtual Lifestyle Management: Prevention Through the UPMC Patient Portal
Prevention of Hypertension Incidence and Diabetes Italian Assessment Study. Therapeutic Strategies of Prevention of Diabetes and Hypertension in Subjects With Metabolic Syndrome and High-Normal Blood Pressure.
Diet, Exercise and Breastfeeding Intervention (DEBI) Program for Women With Gestational Diabetes
Screening, Training, Education and Prevention Service of the University of Pittsburgh, Phase 2
Randomized Controlled Clinical Trial of Carbohydrate Restriction Among Men Initiating Androgen Deprivation Therapy For Prostate Cancer
Age, Lifestyle, Muscle Mechanisms in Insulin Resistance
Collaborations for Health Improvement in East Harlem-Project HEED
A Community-based Lifestyle Intervention to Reduce the Risk of Diabetes in Qingdao, China----Qingdao Diabetes Prevention Project (2005-2012)
Effects of Exercise Behavior Modification on Plasma Adiponectin and Insulin Resistance in High Risk Subjects of Diabetes
Modulation of Insulin and Exercise Responses by Vitamin E and Vitamin C
Canadian Health Advanced By Nutrition and Graded Exercise: CHANGE Health Paradigm
The Effect of Real Time Continuous Glucose Monitoring in Subjects With Pre-diabetes
Group Medical Visits (GMVs) in Primary Care: An RCT of Group-Based Versus Individual Appointments to Reduce HbA1c in Older People
A Prospective Consortium Evaluating the Long-term Follow-up of Patients With Type 2 Diabetes Enrolled In a Randomized Controlled Trial Comparing Bariatric Surgery Versus Medical Management
Physical Activity and Sedentary Behavior Change; Impact on Lifestyle Intervention Effects for Diabetes Translation
Evaluation of Elvitegravir/Cobicistat/Emtricitabine/Tenofovir Alafenamide (ECF/TAF) Switch Followed by Ledipasvir-Sofosbuvir HCV Therapy in HIV-HCV Co-Infection: A CIHR Canadian HIV Trials Network-Gilead Pilot Trial Proposal
Diabetes Prevention in Women With a Recent History of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus
A Comprehensive Intervention Study on Klotho Gene Methylation and Cardiovascular Risk Factors
Insulin Superheroes Club: Diabetes Prevention Program in Youth (12-month Supplement to the CDC DPP for Adults)
The Impact of Novel Strategies to Improve Cardiometabolic Status and Adherence to Exercise Regimens in Patients at High Risk for Cardiovascular Disease
Medicaid Incentives for the Prevention of Chronic Diseases: Diabetes Prevention
Effects of a Web/Smartphone-based Lifestyle Coaching Program on Gestational Weight Gain in Pregnant Women With Gestational Diabetes
Personalizing Sleep Interventions to Prevent Type 2 Diabetes in Community Dwelling Adults With Pre-Diabetes
Effects of a Community-based Weight Loss Programme Targetting Chinese Overweight Adults With Pre-diabetes: A Randomized Controlled Trial
Determinants of Progression From Impaired Fasting Glucose to Diabetes Mellitus Among Chinese - a 3-year Follow up Study
Diabetes and Osteopathic Manipulative Medicine: A Randomized Controlled Trial
Iron Reduction by Phlebotomy for the Treatment of Diabetes and Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease
Early Diagnosis and Management of Patients at Risk for Diabetes
Culturally Adapted Community-based Translational Diabetes Prevention Program for Obese and Pre-diabetic Hispanic/Latino Females
Characterization of a Portable Solid-State Breath Acetone Testing Device for Real-Time Ketosis Status and Comparison to Blood Ketone Testing
The Impact of Consumption of Eggs in the Context of Plant-Based Diets on
Pragmatic Randomized Trial of Polygenic Risk Scoring for Common Diseases in Primary Care
Exercise, Prediabetes and Diabetes After Renal Transplantation.
Open, Randomized, Unicenter Study Comparing Metabolic Surgery With Intensive Medical Therapy to Treat Diabetic Kidney Disease
Obesity Group Visits. A Novel Way to Approach the Obesity Epidemic in an Inner-City Setting
Effects of a Smartphone-based Weight Loss Programme Targeting Chinese Overweight Adults With Pre-diabetes: A Randomized Controlled Trial
GluCoach - Technology-enabled Lifestyle Intervention Study
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Dietary Oxysterols and β-Cell Function Among African Americans
Testing the Effectiveness of Different Messaging Approaches to Increase Doctor Visits to Confirm or Exclude a Diagnosis of Prediabetes or Diabetes Amongst Individuals With Risk Factors for Diabetes: A Randomised, Controlled Trial
Extreme Exercise and Energy Expenditure (4E) Study
Sleep for Health: A Randomized Clinical Trial Examining the Effects of Cognitive Behavioral Therapy for Insomnia on Diabetes Risk
Abdominal Obesity as a Therapeutic Target: Long-term Benefits of Abdominal Fat Loss and Weight Stabilization in High-risk Abdominally Obese Dyslipidemic Patients With the Features of the Metabolic Syndrome (SYNERGIE Study)
A Digital Health Program for Non-Communicable Disease Prevention in a Workplace Setting in Thailand: A Quasi-Experimental Study
Preventing Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus After Gestational Diabetes Mellitus With Immediate Postpartum Screening
Impact of a Multidisciplinary Care Program for Lifestyle Change for Metabolic Control and Quality of Life in Prediabetes: Prediabetes Care Program of Mexico City
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Who cites it
6,567 citing papers in PubMed, 10 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 18,892 citations in OpenAlex.
- How is goal setting used in interventions for chronic disease prevention and management in sub-Saharan Africa? A systematic review and narrative synthesis.Global health action · 2026Pooled it
- Safety and Metabolism-Related Outcomes of Oral Nicotinamide Mononucleotide Supplementation in Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Nutrients · 2026Pooled it
- Effects of pharmacological treatment and lifestyle modification on prediabetes: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials (RCTS).Naunyn-Schmiedeberg's archives of pharmacology · 2026Pooled it
- 2026 AHA/ACC/ADA/ASN Guideline for the Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Management of Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome: A Report of the American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Joint Committee on Clinical Practice Guidelines.Journal of the American College of Cardiology · 2026Guideline
- Effectiveness of Smartphone Application-Based Interventions to Prevent Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus in Individuals With Prediabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Obesity reviews : an official journal of the International Association for the Study of Obesity · 2026Pooled it
- A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of RCTs Assessing Efficacy of Lifestyle Interventions on Glycemic Control in South Asian Adults with Type 2 Diabetes.Medical sciences (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026Pooled it
- Intervening Early in the Cardiovascular-Kidney-Metabolic Syndrome: Expert Recommendations from the United Arab Emirates on the Management of Prediabetes.Vascular health and risk management · 2026Guideline
- Acute effects of "exercise snacks" on postprandial glucose and insulin responses in populations at metabolic risk: a meta-analysis with exploratory meta-regression and vascular outcomes.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2026Pooled it
- Meta-analysis of the effects of exercise intervention on glucose metabolism and body composition in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2026Pooled it
- Effect of Nordic Walking on Anthropometrics, Glycemia, and Lipid Profile in Adults With Prediabetes or Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.Journal of diabetes research · 2026Pooled it
- Lifestyle intervention reduces type 2 diabetes incidence among young women with previous gestational diabetes: A randomized controlled trial.Chinese medical journal · 2026Trial
- A 4-week community-implemented diabetes prevention program is associated with improved metabolic outcomes at 12 months after participation.Diabetic medicine : a journal of the British Diabetic Association · 2026Trial
- Intragastric Balloon Treatment Enhances Weight Maintenance Adjunct to Low-Energy Diet and Group-Based Cognitive Behavioural Therapy: A Randomized Controlled Trial.Diabetes, obesity & metabolism · 2026Trial
- Evaluating the Impact and Practicality of a National Digital Intervention for Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: Single-Arm Nonrandomized Pilot Trial.JMIR formative research · 2026Trial
- Lifestyle-Induced Visceral Fat Loss as a Key Target for Durable Cardiometabolic Health: MRI-Assessed 5- and 10-Year Follow-Up After 2 Clinical Trials.Circulation · 2026Trial
- Trial
- The Impact of a Community Health Worker-Led Lifestyle-Social Determinants Program on Pacific Islander Cardiometabolic Health.American journal of preventive medicine · 2026Trial
- Transition to Virtual Diabetes Self-Management Education Delivery in the Setting of Health Care Disruption for Adults With Diabetes and Their Support Persons.The science of diabetes self-management and care · 2026Trial
- Data-driven cluster analysis of adults with prediabetes: Findings from the Japan diabetes prevention study.Journal of diabetes investigation · 2026Trial
- Effects of a structured exercise program on motivational outcomes in patients with colon cancer.Journal of the National Cancer Institute · 2026Trial
6,507 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
8 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.
Funding
Abstract
backgroundType 2 diabetes affects approximately 8 percent of adults in the United States. Some risk factors--elevated plasma glucose concentrations in the fasting state and after an oral glucose load, overweight, and a sedentary lifestyle--are potentially reversible. We hypothesized that modifying these factors with a lifestyle-intervention program or the administration of metformin would prevent or delay the development of diabetes.
methodsWe randomly assigned 3234 nondiabetic persons with elevated fasting and post-load plasma glucose concentrations to placebo, metformin (850 mg twice daily), or a lifestyle-modification program with the goals of at least a 7 percent weight loss and at least 150 minutes of physical activity per week. The mean age of the participants was 51 years, and the mean body-mass index (the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters) was 34.0; 68 percent were women, and 45 percent were members of minority groups.
resultsThe average follow-up was 2.8 years. The incidence of diabetes was 11.0, 7.8, and 4.8 cases per 100 person-years in the placebo, metformin, and lifestyle groups, respectively. The lifestyle intervention reduced the incidence by 58 percent (95 percent confidence interval, 48 to 66 percent) and metformin by 31 percent (95 percent confidence interval, 17 to 43 percent), as compared with placebo; the lifestyle intervention was significantly more effective than metformin. To prevent one case of diabetes during a period of three years, 6.9 persons would have to participate in the lifestyle-intervention program, and 13.9 would have to receive metformin.
conclusionsLifestyle changes and treatment with metformin both reduced the incidence of diabetes in persons at high risk. The lifestyle intervention was more effective than metformin.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What Socratic holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.