ArticleThe Canadian journal of cardiology2008
Determining the cost-effectiveness of preventing cardiovascular disease: are estimates calculated over the duration of a clinical trial adequate?
Article in The Canadian journal of cardiology, 2008. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed, 9 citations in OpenAlex.
- Optimizing cardiovascular disease risk screening in a low-resource setting: cost-effectiveness of program modifications in Sri Lanka modelled with nationally representative survey data.BMC public health · 2023Article
- Cost-effectiveness of dronedarone and standard of care compared with standard of care alone: US results of an ATHENA lifetime model.ClinicoEconomics and outcomes research : CEOR · 2013Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
backgroundEconomic analyses of randomized clinical trials often focus only on the results that are observed during the study. However, for many preventive interventions, associated costs and benefits will accrue over a patient's remaining lifetime. To determine the importance of the chosen time horizon, the cost-effectiveness (C/E) of ramipril therapy was calculated and compared in the Heart Outcomes Prevention Evaluation (HOPE), the Microalbuminuria, Cardiovascular, and Renal Outcomes in HOPE (MICRO-HOPE) and the Acute Infarction Ramipril Efficacy (AIRE) study versus the entire life expectancy (L/E) of potential patients.
methodsThe Cardiovascular Disease Life Expectancy model, a validated Markov model, was calibrated to accurately forecast the results of each trial. These results were then extrapolated over the remaining L/E of hypothetical patients 55 to 75 years of age. The predicted change in L/E and associated direct health care costs for Canadians were calculated and discounted 3% annually.
resultsIn HOPE, the forecasted increased L/E averaged 0.06 years during the five-year study versus 1.3 years over the remaining years of L/E. The associated C/E of ramipril was $15,000 per year of life saved (YOLS) over the study duration and $8,500/YOLS over the remaining lifetime. For hypothetical patients, the C/E of ramipril over 4.5 years ranged from $6,700/YOLS to more than $58,300/YOLS and was lowest among elderly men. When the remaining L/E was considered, the C/E of ramipril was similar for men and women of all ages, ranging from $8,100/YOLS to $10,200/YOLS. The analyses of MICRO-HOPE and AIRE provided similar results.
conclusionThe estimated efficacy and associated C/E of ramipril in HOPE, MICRO-HOPE and the AIRE study is extremely sensitive to the selected time horizon. Economic analyses beyond the duration of randomized clinical trials are required to fully evaluate the potential costs and benefits of long-term preventive therapies.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.