Evidence map›Paper›PMID 22949270›Full record

ArticleJournal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology2012

Selective improvement in Seattle Heart Failure Model risk stratification using iodine-123 meta-iodobenzylguanidine imaging.

Eric S Ketchum, Arnold F Jacobson, James H Caldwell, Roxy Senior, Manuel D Cerqueira, Gregory S Thomas, Denis Agostini, Jagat Narula, Wayne C Levy

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In one paragraph

Article in Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology, 2012. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Prognostic usefulness of planarJournal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2021
    Trial
  3. Machine learning-based risk model usingJournal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2022
    Article
  4. Dynamic cardiac PET imaging: Technological improvements advancing future cardiac health.Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2019
    Article
  5. Molecular Imaging of the Heart.Comprehensive Physiology · 2019
    Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Sympathetic nervous system, systolic heart failure, and central sleep apnea: Are we about to find the missing link?Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2017
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Neurocardiac imaging has a proven value in patient management.Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2017
    Article
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. I-123 MIBG Cardiac Imaging.Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2015
    Article
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Cardiac autonomic imaging with SPECT tracers.Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2013
    Review
  19. A key role for nuclear cardiac imaging in evaluating and managing patients with heart failure.Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2012
    Article
  20. Nuclear cardiology: 2014 innovations and developments.Methodist DeBakey cardiovascular journal
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Eric S KetchumDivision of Cardiology, University of Washington, 1959 NE Pacific Street, PO Box 356422, Seattle, WA, USA. eketchum@washington.edu
Arnold F Jacobson
James H Caldwell
Roxy Senior
Manuel D Cerqueira
Gregory S Thomas
Denis Agostini
Jagat Narula
Wayne C Levy

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe Seattle Heart Failure Model (SHFM) is a multivariable model that uses demographic and clinical markers to predict survival in patients with heart failure. Inappropriate activation of the sympathetic nervous system, which contributes to the progression of heart failure and increased mortality, can be assessed using iodine-123 meta-iodobenzylguanidine (MIBG) cardiac imaging. This study investigated the incremental value of MIBG cardiac imaging when added to the SHFM for prediction of all-cause mortality.

methodsSurvival data from 961 NYHA II-III subjects in the ADMIRE-HFX trial were included in this analysis. The predictive value of the SHFM alone and in combination with MIBG heart-to-mediastinum ratio (H/M) was compared for all-cause mortality (101 deaths during a median follow-up of 2 years).

resultsThe addition of H/M to the SHFM in a Cox model significantly improved risk prediction (P < .0001), with a greater utility in higher risk SHFM patients. The observed 2-year mortality in the highest-risk SHFM subjects (rounded SHFM score of 1) was 24%, but varied from 46% with H/M <1.2 to 0% with H/M >1.8. Net reclassification improvement was 22.7% (P < .001), with 14.9% of subjects who died reclassified into a higher risk category than suggested by SHFM score alone (P = .01) and 7.9% of subjects who survived reclassified into a lower risk category (P < .0001). The 2-year integrated discrimination improvement (+4.14%, P < .0001) and the 1-year area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (+0.04, P = .026) both showed significant improvement for the combined model with H/M compared to the SHFM alone.

conclusionThe addition of MIBG imaging to the SHFM improves risk stratification, especially in higher risk patients. MIBG may have clinical utility in higher risk patients who are being considered for devices such as ICD, CRT-D, LVAD, and cardiac transplantation.

Indexed as

3-IodobenzylguanidineRadiopharmaceuticalsAgedAged, 80 and overArea Under CurveFemaleHeart FailureHumansKaplan-Meier EstimateMaleMiddle AgedMultivariate AnalysisProportional Hazards ModelsRadionuclide ImagingRisk3-IodobenzylguanidineRadiopharmaceuticals

Identifiers

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.