Evidence map›Paper›PMID 24807464›Full record

Observational studyAge (Dordrecht, Netherlands)2014

Plasma NT-proBNP as predictor of change in functional status, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in the oldest old: the Leiden 85-plus study.

Petra G van Peet, Anton J M de Craen, Jacobijn Gussekloo, Wouter de Ruijter

Open access · bronzeAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Age (Dordrecht, Netherlands), 2014. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.6field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 32 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Natriuretic Peptides as a Biomarker of Cognitive Decline in Hypertension.High blood pressure & cardiovascular prevention : the official journal of the Italian Society of Hypertension · 2026
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Review
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Observational
  12. What to Expect from Cardiovascular Life at 85?Arquivos brasileiros de cardiologia · 2021
    Article
  13. Level and Change in N-Terminal Pro-B-Type Natriuretic Peptide and Kidney Function and Survival to Age 90.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2021
    Observational
  14. Review
  15. Review
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Petra G van PeetDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, Leiden University Medical Center, PO Box 9600, 2300, RC, Leiden, The Netherlands, P.G.van_Peet@lumc.nl.
Anton J M de Craen
Jacobijn Gussekloo
Wouter de Ruijter
Leiden University Medical Center · NL

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the aging society, it is important to identify very old persons at high risk of functional decline, cardiovascular disease and mortality. However, traditional risk markers lose their predictive value with age. We investigated whether plasma N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels predict change in functional status, cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in very old age. Here we present an observational prospective cohort study (Leiden 85-plus Study, 1997-2004) in a population-based sample of 560 individuals aged 85 years with a 5-year complete follow-up for functional status, cardiovascular morbidity and cause-specific mortality. Median NT-proBNP for men was 351 pg/ml (cutoff values for low-medium tertiles 201 pg/ml and medium-high tertiles 649 pg/ml) and, for women, 297 pg/ml (cutoffs 204 and 519 pg/ml, respectively). During the 5-year follow-up, participants with high NT-proBNP had an accelerated cognitive decline and increase of activities of daily living (ADL) disability over time (all at p < 0.01) and an increased risk of incident heart failure [hazard ratio (HR) 3.3 (95 % confidence interval (CI) 1.8-6.1)], atrial fibrillation [HR 4.1 (2.0-8.7)], myocardial infarction [HR 2.1 (1.2-3.7)], stroke [HR 3.4 (1.9-6.3)], cardiovascular mortality [HR 5.5 (3.1-10)], non-cardiovascular mortality [HR 2.0 (1.4-3.0)] and all-cause mortality [HR 2.9 (2.1-4.0)], independent of other known risk markers. All results remained similar after exclusion of participants with heart failure at baseline. In very old age, high-NT-proBNP levels predict accelerated cognitive and functional decline, as well as cardiovascular morbidity and mortality. Results suggest that NT-proBNP can help clinicians to identify very old people at high risk of functional impairment and incident cardiovascular morbidity.

Indexed as

Activities of Daily LivingAged, 80 and overAgingBiomarkersCardiovascular DiseasesCause of DeathCross-Sectional StudiesFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGeriatric AssessmentHumansIncidenceMaleMorbidityNatriuretic Peptide, BrainNetherlandsBiomarkersNatriuretic Peptide, BrainPeptide Fragmentspro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)

Identifiers

PMID24807464
PMCPMC4082596
OpenAlexW2021992383

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.