Evidence map›Paper›PMID 26782849›Full record

ArticleJournal of the American Geriatrics Society2016

Predictive Validity of the Beers and Screening Tool of Older Persons' Potentially Inappropriate Prescriptions (STOPP) Criteria to Detect Adverse Drug Events, Hospitalizations, and Emergency Department Visits in the United States.

Joshua D Brown, Lisa C Hutchison, Chenghui Li, Jacob T Painter, Bradley C Martin

Registry-linked trialAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the American Geriatrics Society, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06335953 (Demonstration of ALIGN), which is not on this map. Cited by 46 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
46citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06335953 nacompletednot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

Demonstration of ALIGN: Aligning Medications With What Matters Most

TypeinterventionalSponsorJohns Hopkins UniversityRan2024 to 2025Enrolled474ConditionsPolypharmacy, Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias, Mild Cognitive ImpairmentArmsPharmacist-led deprescribing intervention
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

46 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Practical Assessment and Management of Vulnerabilities in Older Patients Receiving Chemotherapy: ASCO Guideline for Geriatric Oncology.Journal of clinical oncology : official journal of the American Society of Clinical Oncology · 2018
    Guideline
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  14. Observational
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Joshua D BrownDivision of Pharmaceutical Evaluation and Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Arkansas.
Lisa C HutchisonDepartment of Pharmacy Practice, College of Pharmacy, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Arkansas.
Chenghui LiDivision of Pharmaceutical Evaluation and Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Arkansas.
Jacob T PainterDivision of Pharmaceutical Evaluation and Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Arkansas.
Bradley C MartinDivision of Pharmaceutical Evaluation and Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, Arkansas.

Funding

CTSA INFRASTRUCTURE FOR PEDIATRIC RESEARCHUL1RR029884 · NCRR · UNIV OF ARKANSAS FOR MED SCIS · PI LOWERY, CURTIS L · 2009 to 2011
$11.4M
Arkansas Center for Clinical and Translational ResearchUL1TR000039 · NCATS · UNIV OF ARKANSAS FOR MED SCIS · PI BECK, CORNELIA MARIE, JAMES, LAURA P · 2012 to 2014
$10.0M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR000039NCATS NIH HHS UL1TR000039NCRR NIH HHS 1UL1RR029884NCRR NIH HHS UL1 RR029884
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo compare the predictive validity of the 2003 Beers, 2012 American Geriatrics Society (AGS) Beers, and Screening Tool of Older Persons' potentially inappropriate Prescriptions (STOPP) criteria.

designRetrospective cohort.

settingManaged care administrative claims data from 2006 to 2009.

participantsCommercially insured persons aged 65 and older in the United States (N=174,275). MEASUREMENTS: Association between adverse drug events (ADEs), emergency department (ED) visits, and hospitalization outcomes and inappropriate medication use using time-varying Cox proportional hazard models. Measures of model discrimination (c-index) and hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated to compare unadjusted and adjusted models for associations.

resultsThe prevalence of inappropriate prescribing was 34.1% for the 2012 AGS Beers criteria, 32.2% for the 2003 Beers criteria, and 27.6% for the STOPP criteria. Each set of criteria modestly discriminated ADEs in unadjusted analyses (STOPP criteria: hazard ratio (HR)=2.89, 95% confidence interval (CI)=2.68-3.12, C-index=0.607; 2012 AGS Beers criteria: HR=2.51, 95% CI=2.33-2.70, C-index=0.603; 2003 Beers criteria: HR=2.65, 95% CI=2.46-2.85, C-index=0.605). Similar results were observed for ED visits and hospitalizations. The c-indices increased to between 0.65 and 0.70 in adjusted analyses. The kappa for agreement between criteria was 0.80 for the 2003 and 2012 AGS Beers criteria, 0.58 for the 2012 AGS Beers and STOPP criteria, and 0.59 for the 2003 Beers and STOPP criteria. For the three outcomes, the 2012 AGS Beers criteria had the highest sensitivity (61.2-71.2%) and the lowest specificity (41.2-70.7%), and the STOPP criteria had the lowest sensitivity (53.8-64.7%) but the highest specificity (47.8-78.1%).

conclusionAll three criteria were modestly prognostic for ADEs, EDs, and hospitalizations, with the STOPP criteria slightly outperforming both Beers criteria. With low sensitivity, low specificity, and low agreement between the criteria, they can be used in a complementary fashion to enhance sensitivity in detecting ADEs.

Indexed as

Emergency Service, HospitalAgedAged, 80 and overDrug-Related Side Effects and Adverse ReactionsFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGeriatricsHospitalizationHumansInappropriate PrescribingMalePotentially Inappropriate Medication ListPrevalenceRetrospective StudiesSocieties, MedicalTime Factorsadverse drug eventsBeers criteriainappropriate prescribingSTOPP criteria

Identifiers

PMID26782849
PMCPMC5287350

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.