Evidence map›Paper›PMID 27888288›Full record

SynthesisDiabetologia2017

Nonlinear association of BMI with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in type 2 diabetes mellitus: a systematic review and meta-analysis of 414,587 participants in prospective studies.

Francesco Zaccardi, Nafeesa N Dhalwani, Dimitris Papamargaritis, David R Webb, Gavin J Murphy, Melanie J Davies, Kamlesh Khunti

Abstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Diabetologia, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 56 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
56citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

56 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  11. Improving T2D machine learning-based prediction accuracy with SNPs and younger age.Computational and structural biotechnology journal · 2025
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Living well with diabetes in Alaska.International journal of circumpolar health · 2024
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Francesco ZaccardiDiabetes Research Centre, Leicester Diabetes Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.
Nafeesa N DhalwaniDiabetes Research Centre, Leicester Diabetes Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK. nnd2@le.ac.uk.
Dimitris PapamargaritisDiabetes Research Centre, Leicester Diabetes Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.
David R WebbDiabetes Research Centre, Leicester Diabetes Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.
Gavin J MurphyUniversity of Leicester, Department of Cardiovascular Sciences, Clinical Sciences Wing, Glenfield General Hospital, Leicester, LE3 9QP, UK.
Melanie J DaviesDiabetes Research Centre, Leicester Diabetes Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.
Kamlesh KhuntiDiabetes Research Centre, Leicester Diabetes Centre, University of Leicester, Leicester General Hospital, Leicester, LE5 4PW, UK.

Funding

British Heart Foundation RG/13/6/29947
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisThe relationship between BMI and mortality has been extensively investigated in the general population; however, it is less clear in people with type 2 diabetes. We aimed to assess the association of BMI with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus.

methodsWe searched electronic databases up to 1 March 2016 for prospective studies reporting associations for three or more BMI groups with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus. Study-specific associations between BMI and the most-adjusted RR were estimated using restricted cubic splines and a generalised least squares method before pooling study estimates with a multivariate random-effects meta-analysis.

resultsWe included 21 studies including 24 cohorts, 414,587 participants, 61,889 all-cause and 4470 cardiovascular incident deaths; follow-up ranged from 2.7 to 15.9 years. There was a strong nonlinear relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality in both men and women, with the lowest estimated risk from 31-35 kg/m CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationIn type 2 diabetes, BMI is nonlinearly associated with all-cause mortality with lowest risk in the overweight group in both men and women. Further research is needed to clarify the relationship with cardiovascular mortality and assess causality and sex differences.

Indexed as

AdultBody Mass IndexCardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2FemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedProspective StudiesBMIBody mass indexCardiovascular diseaseDiabetesMeta-analysisMortalityNonlinearitySystematic review

Identifiers

PMID27888288
PMCPMC6518080

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.