Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28076701›Full record

ArticleAnnals of the American Thoracic Society2017

Reduced Expiratory Flow Rate among Heavy Smokers Increases Lung Cancer Risk. Results from the National Lung Screening Trial-American College of Radiology Imaging Network Cohort.

Raewyn J Hopkins, Fenghai Duan, Caroline Chiles, Erin M Greco, Greg D Gamble, Denise Aberle, Robert P Young

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Annals of the American Thoracic Society, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Lung Cancer Risk in US Adults with COPD: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.International journal of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease · 2025
    Pooled it
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  3. Pooled it
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  15. A Closer Look-Who Are We Screening for Lung Cancer?Mayo Clinic proceedings. Innovations, quality & outcomes · 2023
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Review
  19. Airflow Limitation Increases Lung Cancer Risk in Smokers: The Lifelines Cohort Study.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2022
    Article
  20. Observational
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Raewyn J Hopkins1 Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Fenghai Duan2 Department of Biostatistics and Center for Statistical Sciences, Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, Rhode Island.
Caroline Chiles3 Department of Radiology, Comprehensive Cancer Center, Wake Forest University Baptist Medical Center, Winston-Salem, North Carolina.
Erin M Greco2 Department of Biostatistics and Center for Statistical Sciences, Brown University School of Public Health, Providence, Rhode Island.
Greg D Gamble1 Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.
Denise Aberle4 Department of Radiological Sciences, David Geffen School of Medicine, University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, California; and.
Robert P Young1 Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand.

Funding

ECOG-ACRIN NCORP Research Base - TMISTUG1CA189828 · NCI · ECOG-ACRIN MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI Peter J ODwyer, MITCHELL D. SCHNALL · 2014 to 2026
$199.7M
ARRA - ADOPT New Technologies for RDC/CDMSU01CA080098 · NCI · AMERICAN COLLEGE OF RADIOLOGY · PI SCHNALL, MITCHELL D. · 1999 to 2011
$182.7M
Statistics CoreU10CA180794 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI PAUL J CATALANO · 2014 to 2026
$111.2M
BIOSTATISTICS DATA MANAGEMENT CENTER FOR ACROINU01CA079778 · NCI · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI GATSONIS, CONSTANTINE A. · 1999 to 2011
$48.6M
Biostatistics Data Management Center for ACRINU10CA079778 · NCI · BROWN UNIVERSITY · PI GATSONIS, CONSTANTINE A. · 2013 to 2013
$2.4M
NCI NIH HHS U01 CA079778NCI NIH HHS U01 CA080098NCI NIH HHS U10 CA079778NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180794NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA189828
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

rationaleAlthough epidemiological studies consistently show that chronic obstructive pulmonary disease is associated with an increased risk of lung cancer, debate exists as to whether there is a linear relationship between the severity of airflow limitation and lung cancer risk.

objectivesWe examined this in a large, prospective study of older heavy smokers from the American College of Radiology Imaging Network subcohort of the National Lung Screening Trial (ACRIN). Airflow limitation was defined by prebronchodilator spirometry subgrouped according to Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) grades 1-4.

methodsIn the National Lung Screening Trial-ACRIN cohort of 18,473 screening participants, 6,436 had airflow limitation (35%) and 12,037 (65%) had no airflow limitation. From these groups, 758 lung cancer cases were prospectively identified. Participants with airflow limitation were stratified according to GOLD groups 1 (n = 1,607), 2 (n = 3,528), 3 (n = 1,083), and 4 (n = 211). Lung cancer incidence at study end (mean follow-up, 6.4 yr) was compared between the GOLD groups and those with no airflow limitation (referent group). MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN

resultsCompared with those with no airflow limitation, where lung cancer incidence was 3.78/1,000 person years, incidence rates increased in a simple linear relationship: GOLD 1 (6.27/1,000 person yr); GOLD 2 (7.86/1,000 person yr); GOLD 3 (10.71/1,000 person yr); and GOLD 4 (13.25/1,000 person yr). All relationships were significant versus the reference group at a P value of 0.0001 or less.

conclusionsIn a large prospective study of high-risk cigarette smokers, we report a strong linear relationship between increasing severity of airflow limitation and risk of lung cancer.

Indexed as

AgedFemaleForced Expiratory VolumeHumansLungLung NeoplasmsMaleMass ScreeningMiddle AgedProspective StudiesPulmonary Disease, Chronic ObstructiveRisk FactorsSeverity of Illness IndexSmokingSpirometryUnited Statesairflow limitationchronic obstructive pulmonary diseaselung cancerNational Lung Screening Trialrisk

Identifiers

PMID28076701
PMCPMC5686299

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.