Evidence map›Paper›PMID 28396115›Full record

ArticleKidney international2017

Improved clinical trial enrollment criterion to identify patients with diabetes at risk of end-stage renal disease.

Masayuki Yamanouchi, Jan Skupien, Monika A Niewczas, Adam M Smiles, Alessandro Doria, Robert C Stanton, Andrzej T Galecki, Kevin L Duffin, Nick Pullen, Matthew D Breyer and 3 more

Abstract readValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Kidney international, 2017. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 28 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
28citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

28 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Trial
  3. Effects of Selonsertib in Patients with Diabetic Kidney Disease.Journal of the American Society of Nephrology : JASN · 2019
    Trial
  4. Review
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  6. Article
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  8. Review
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  11. Molecular Pathways of Diabetic Kidney Disease Inferred from Proteomics.Diabetes, metabolic syndrome and obesity : targets and therapy · 2023
    Review
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  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Masayuki YamanouchiSection on Genetics and Epidemiology, Research Divisions, Joslin Diabetes Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Jan SkupienSection on Genetics and Epidemiology, Research Divisions, Joslin Diabetes Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Department of Metabolic Disease, Jagellonian University Medical College, Krakow, Poland. Electronic address: Jan.Skupien@uj.edu.pl.
Monika A NiewczasSection on Genetics and Epidemiology, Research Divisions, Joslin Diabetes Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Adam M SmilesSection on Genetics and Epidemiology, Research Divisions, Joslin Diabetes Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Alessandro DoriaSection on Genetics and Epidemiology, Research Divisions, Joslin Diabetes Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Robert C StantonDepartment of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Renal Division, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Andrzej T GaleckiInstitute of Gerontology, University of Michigan Medical School, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA; Department of Biostatistics, University of Michigan School of Public Health, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Kevin L DuffinLilly Research Laboratories, Eli Lilly & Company Inc. Corporate Center, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA.
Nick PullenPfizer Inc., 610 Main Street, Cambridge, Massachusetts, 02139, USA.
Matthew D BreyerLilly Research Laboratories, Eli Lilly & Company Inc. Corporate Center, Indianapolis, Indiana, USA.
Joseph V BonventreDepartment of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Renal Division, Brigham & Women Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
James H WarramSection on Genetics and Epidemiology, Research Divisions, Joslin Diabetes Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Andrzej S KrolewskiSection on Genetics and Epidemiology, Research Divisions, Joslin Diabetes Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA; Department of Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, Massachusetts, USA. Electronic address: Andrzej.krolewski@joslin.harvard.edu.

Funding

SPECIAL ASSAY COREP30DK036836 · NIDDK · JOSLIN DIABETES CENTER · PI ROHIT N. KULKARNI · 1986 to 2026
$50.5M
KIDNEY INJURY MOLECULE-1 IN EPITHELIAL REPAIRR01DK072381 · NIDDK · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI BONVENTRE, JOSEPH VINCENT · 2005 to 2025
$8.6M
Tumor necrosis factor superfamily of ligands and receptors in progressive renal decline in diabetesR01DK041526 · NIDDK · JOSLIN DIABETES CENTER · PI KROLEWSKI, ANDRZEJ S · 1990 to 2018
$7.8M
NIDDK NIH HHS P30 DK036836NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK041526NIDDK NIH HHS R01 DK072381
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Design of Phase III trials for diabetic nephropathy currently requires patients at a high risk of progression defined as within three years of a hard end point (end-stage renal disease, 40% loss of estimated glomerular filtration rate, or death). To improve the design of these trials, we used natural history data from the Joslin Kidney Studies of chronic kidney disease in patients with diabetes to develop an improved criterion to identify such patients. This included a training cohort of 279 patients with type 1 diabetes and 134 end points within three years, and a validation cohort of 221 patients with type 2 diabetes and 88 end points. Previous trials selected patients using clinical criteria for baseline urinary albumin-to-creatinine ratio and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Application of these criteria to our cohort data yielded sensitivities (detection of patients at risk) of 70-80% and prognostic values of only 52-63%. We applied classification and regression trees analysis to select from among all clinical characteristics and markers the optimal prognostic criterion that divided patients with type 1 diabetes according to risk. The optimal criterion was a serum tumor necrosis factor receptor 1 level over 4.3 ng/ml alone or 2.9-4.3 ng/ml with an albumin-to-creatinine ratio over 1900 mg/g. Remarkably, this criterion produced similar results in both type 1 and type 2 diabetic patients. Overall, sensitivity and prognostic value were high (72% and 81%, respectively). Thus, application of this criterion to enrollment in future clinical trials could reduce the sample size required to achieve adequate statistical power for detection of treatment benefits.

Indexed as

Endpoint DeterminationGlomerular Filtration RatePatient SelectionAdultAlbuminuriaBiomarkersClinical Trials, Phase III as TopicCreatinineDiabetes Mellitus, Type 1Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Diabetic NephropathiesDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansKidneyKidney Failure, ChronicBiomarkersCreatinineReceptors, Tumor Necrosis Factor, Type ITNFRSF1A protein, humanacute kidney injurychronic kidney diseasediabetes

Identifiers

PMID28396115
PMCPMC5796779

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.