Evidence map›Paper›PMID 29463239›Full record

ArticleMalaria journal2018

Spatial modelling of malaria cases associated with environmental factors in South Sumatra, Indonesia.

Hamzah Hasyim, Afi Nursafingi, Ubydul Haque, Doreen Montag, David A Groneberg, Meghnath Dhimal, Ulrich Kuch, Ruth Müller

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Malaria journal, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
24citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Hamzah HasyimInstitute for Occupational Medicine, Social Medicine and Environmental Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany. hamzah.hasyim@stud.uni-frankfurt.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-2780-8902
Afi NursafingiRemote Sensing Program, Faculty of Geography, Gadjah Mada University, Yogyakarta, Indonesia.
Ubydul HaqueDepartment of Public Health, Baldwin Wallace University, Berea, OH, USA.
Doreen MontagBarts and the London School of Medicine, Centre for Primary Care and Public Health, Queen Mary University of London, London, UK.
David A GronebergInstitute for Occupational Medicine, Social Medicine and Environmental Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Meghnath DhimalInstitute for Occupational Medicine, Social Medicine and Environmental Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Ulrich KuchInstitute for Occupational Medicine, Social Medicine and Environmental Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Ruth MüllerInstitute for Occupational Medicine, Social Medicine and Environmental Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Goethe University, Frankfurt am Main, Germany.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundMalaria, a parasitic infection, is a life-threatening disease in South Sumatra Province, Indonesia. This study aimed to investigate the spatial association between malaria occurrence and environmental risk factors.

methodsThe number of confirmed malaria cases was analysed for the year 2013 from the routine reporting of the Provincial Health Office of South Sumatra. The cases were spread over 436 out of 1613 villages. Six potential ecological predictors of malaria cases were analysed in the different regions using ordinary least square (OLS) and geographically weighted regression (GWR). The global pattern and spatial variability of associations between malaria cases and the selected potential ecological predictors was explored.

resultsThe importance of different environmental and geographic parameters for malaria was shown at global and village-level in South Sumatra, Indonesia. The independent variables altitude, distance from forest, and rainfall in global OLS were significantly associated with malaria cases. However, as shown by GWR model and in line with recent reviews, the relationship between malaria and environmental factors in South Sumatra strongly varied spatially in different regions.

conclusionsA more in-depth understanding of local ecological factors influencing malaria disease as shown in present study may not only be useful for developing sustainable regional malaria control programmes, but can also benefit malaria elimination efforts at village level.

Indexed as

Models, StatisticalSpatial AnalysisTopography, MedicalEnvironmentGeographyHumansIndonesiaMalariaRisk FactorsAkaike information criterion (AIC)Distance to waterElevationGeographically weighted regression (GWR)Local climateOrdinary least squares (OLS)Physical environmentRainfallSumatra

Identifiers

PMID29463239
PMCPMC5819714

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.