Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30136293›Full record

SynthesisAlimentary pharmacology & therapeutics2018

Systematic review with meta-analysis: risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis without cirrhosis compared to other liver diseases.

Jonathan G Stine, Brian J Wentworth, Alex Zimmet, Mary E Rinella, Rohit Loomba, Stephen H Caldwell, Curtis K Argo

Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT06523608 (Prediction of Decompensation and HCC Development in Patients With Advanced Chronic Liver Disease by the PLEASE and M10S20 Algorithms), which is not on this map. Cited by 177 papers, 12 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
177citing papers in PubMed, 12 pooled it
18.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06523608 recruitingnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

Prediction of Decompensation and HCC Development in Patients With Advanced Chronic Liver Disease by the PLEASE and M10S20 Algorithms

Typeobservational_patient_registrySponsorUniversity Hospital MuensterRan2024 to 2027Enrolled600ConditionsLiver Diseases, Hepatocellular Carcinoma, Hepatocarcinoma, Advanced Chronic Liver DiseaseArmsStandard survillance protocol, Stratified survillance protocol
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

177 citing papers in PubMed, 12 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 326 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Prevention, surveillance, and early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma - a Brazilian multidisciplinary consensus.Arquivos brasileiros de cirurgia digestiva : ABCD = Brazilian archives of digestive surgery · 2026
    Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. Guideline
  4. Pooled it
  5. Guideline
  6. Pooled it
  7. Pooled it
  8. Guideline
  9. Change in MRI-PDFF and Histologic Response in Patients With Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2021
    Pooled it
  10. Pooled it
  11. AGA Clinical Practice Update on Bariatric Surgery in Cirrhosis: Expert Review.Clinical gastroenterology and hepatology : the official clinical practice journal of the American Gastroenterological Association · 2021
    Guideline
  12. The egyptian clinical practice guidelines for the diagnosis and management of metabolic associated fatty liver disease.Saudi journal of gastroenterology : official journal of the Saudi Gastroenterology Association
    Guideline
  13. Trial
  14. Trial
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Review
  19. Current management of MASLD in type 2 diabetes.Hormones (Athens, Greece) · 2026
    Review
  20. Article

117 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jonathan G StineDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3352-6928
Brian J WentworthDepartment of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA.
Alex ZimmetDepartment of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA.
Mary E RinellaDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, Northwestern University Feinberg School of Medicine, Chicago, Illinois, USA.
Rohit LoombaNAFLD Research Center, Division of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, San Diego, California, USA.
Stephen H CaldwellDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA.
Curtis K ArgoDivision of Gastroenterology & Hepatology, Department of Medicine, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia, USA.
University of Virginia · USNorthwestern University · USUniversity of California San Diego · US

Funding

RESEARCH TRAINING IN DIGESTIVE DISEASEST32DK007769 · NIDDK · UNIVERSITY OF VIRGINIA CHARLOTTESVILLE · PI COHN, STEVEN M · 1999 to 2014
$2.1M
NIDDK NIH HHS T32 DK007769NIH HHS
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGiven the lack of long-term prospective studies, it is challenging for clinicians to make informed decisions about screening and treatment decisions regarding the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) who do not have cirrhosis.

aimTo characterise the pooled risk of HCC in the non-cirrhosis population.

methodsPublished studies were identified through April 2016 in MEDLINE, Scopus, Science Citation Index, AMED and the Cochrane Library. Two independent reviewers screened citations and extracted data. Random effect odds ratios (OR) were calculated to obtain aggregate estimates of effect size between NASH and non-NASH groups. Between-study variability and heterogeneity were assessed.

resultsNineteen studies with 168 571 participants were included. Eighty-six per cent of included subjects had cirrhosis. The prevalence of HCC in non-cirrhotic NASH was 38.0%; among other aetiologies in non-cirrhotics, it was 14.2% (P < 0.001). Non-cirrhotic NASH subjects were at greater odds of developing HCC than non-cirrhotic subjects of other aetiologies (OR 2.61, 95% CI 1.27-5.35, P = 0.009). When examining all NASH subjects either with or without cirrhosis, those with NASH as the underlying liver disease did not have a significantly increased risk of HCC (OR 1.43, 95% CI 0.77-2.65, P = 0.250).

conclusionsIn non-cirrhotic subjects, those with NASH have a higher risk of HCC compared to other aetiologies of liver disease. Further study investigating the risk factors of HCC among non-cirrhotic NASH patients is needed.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularCase-Control StudiesCohort StudiesHumansLiver CirrhosisLiver DiseasesLiver NeoplasmsNon-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseObservational Studies as TopicProspective StudiesRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID30136293
PMCPMC7495494
OpenAlexW2888434946

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.