Evidence map›Paper›PMID 30424772›Full record

ArticleGenome biology2018

Genetic disease risks can be misestimated across global populations.

Michelle S Kim, Kane P Patel, Andrew K Teng, Ali J Berens, Joseph Lachance

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Genome biology, 2018. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 122 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
122citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

122 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Systematic Review of Polygenic Risk Scores for Type 1 and Type 2 Diabetes.International journal of molecular sciences · 2020
    Pooled it
  3. Risk Prediction Models for Colorectal Cancer Incorporating Common Genetic Variants: A Systematic Review.Cancer epidemiology, biomarkers & prevention : a publication of the American Association for Cancer Research, cosponsored by the American Society of Preventive Oncology · 2019
    Pooled it
  4. Review
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Polygenic prediction of human complex traits using ancient DNA.Current opinion in genetics & development · 2025
    Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

62 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Michelle S KimSchool of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, 950 Atlantic Dr., Atlanta, GA, 30332, USA.
Kane P PatelSchool of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, 950 Atlantic Dr., Atlanta, GA, 30332, USA.
Andrew K TengSchool of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, 950 Atlantic Dr., Atlanta, GA, 30332, USA.
Ali J BerensSchool of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, 950 Atlantic Dr., Atlanta, GA, 30332, USA.
Joseph LachanceSchool of Biological Sciences, Georgia Institute of Technology, 950 Atlantic Dr., Atlanta, GA, 30332, USA. joseph.lachance@biology.gatech.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-4650-3741

Funding

Nutritional Assessment of Cancer Risk in African MenU01CA184374 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI REBBECK, TIMOTHY R · 2015 to 2019
$9.1M
NCI NIH HHS U01CA184374
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccurate assessment of health disparities requires unbiased knowledge of genetic risks in different populations. Unfortunately, most genome-wide association studies use genotyping arrays and European samples. Here, we integrate whole genome sequence data from global populations, results from thousands of genome-wide association studies (GWAS), and extensive computer simulations to identify how genetic disease risks can be misestimated.

resultsIn contrast to null expectations, we find that risk allele frequencies at known disease loci are significantly different for African populations compared to other continents. Strikingly, ancestral risk alleles are found at 9.51% higher frequency in Africa, and derived risk alleles are found at 5.40% lower frequency in Africa. By simulating GWAS with different study populations, we find that non-African cohorts yield disease associations that have biased allele frequencies and that African cohorts yield disease associations that are relatively free of bias. We also find empirical evidence that genotyping arrays and SNP ascertainment bias contribute to continental differences in risk allele frequencies. Because of these causes, polygenic risk scores can be grossly misestimated for individuals of African descent. Importantly, continental differences in risk allele frequencies are only moderately reduced if GWAS use whole genome sequences and hundreds of thousands of cases and controls. Finally, comparisons between uncorrected and corrected genetic risk scores reveal the benefits of considering whether risk alleles are ancestral or derived.

conclusionsOur results imply that caution must be taken when extrapolating GWAS results from one population to predict disease risks in another population.

Indexed as

Genetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenetics, PopulationGenome, HumanGenome-Wide Association StudyPolymorphism, Single NucleotideAsian PeopleBlack PeopleGene FrequencyGlobal HealthHumansRisk FactorsWhite PeopleAscertainment biasGenetic epidemiologyGenetic risk scoresGenome-wide association studiesGlobal healthHealth disparitiesPopulation genetics

Identifiers

PMID30424772
PMCPMC6234640

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.