Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31095649›Full record

Observational studyPloS one2019

Logistic regression prediction model identify type 2 diabetes mellitus as a prognostic factor for human papillomavirus-16 associated head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.

Aastha Sobti, Fatemeh Saheb Sharif-Askari, Saif Khan, Narjes Saheb Sharif-Askari, Mahmood Yaseen Hachim, Luke Williams, Yuanping Zhou, Colin Hopper, Rifat Hamoudi

Open access · goldAbstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in PloS one, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.9field-weighted citation impact, top 28% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 7 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

Aastha SobtiAcademic Unit of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, UCL Eastman Dental Institute, London, United Kingdom.
Fatemeh Saheb Sharif-AskariSharjah Institute of Medical Research, College of Medicine, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates.
Saif KhanResearch Department of Targeted Intervention, Division of Surgery and Interventional Science, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
Narjes Saheb Sharif-AskariSharjah Institute of Medical Research, College of Medicine, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates.ORCID 0000-0003-0482-6777
Mahmood Yaseen HachimSharjah Institute of Medical Research, College of Medicine, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates.
Luke WilliamsAcademic Unit of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, UCL Eastman Dental Institute, London, United Kingdom.
Yuanping ZhouDepartment of Infectious Diseases and Hepatology Unit, Nanfang Hospital, Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Colin HopperAcademic Unit of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgery, UCL Eastman Dental Institute, London, United Kingdom.
Rifat HamoudiSharjah Institute of Medical Research, College of Medicine, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates.ORCID 0000-0002-1402-0868
University of Sharjah · AEEastman Dental Hospital · GBNanfang Hospital · CNUniversity College London · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHPV-16-positive HNSCC and HPV-16-negative HNSCC have different clinical factors, representing distinct forms of cancers. The study aimed to identify patient-specific factors for HPV-16-positive HNSCC based on baseline clinical data.

methodFactors associated with HPV-16-positive HNSCC were identified using the data from 210 patients diagnosed with HNSCC at University College of London Hospital between January 1, 2003, and April 30, 2015, inclusive. A series of models were developed using logistic regression methods, and the overall model fit was compared using Akaike Information Criterion. Survival analysis was carried with Cox proportional hazards model for survival-time outcomes. The survival time for individual patients was defined as the time from diagnosis of HNSCC to the date of death from any cause. For patients who did not die, they were censored at the end of study on April 30, 2015.

resultsOf the 210 patients, 151 (72%) were found to have HPV-16-positive HNSCC. The logistic regression model showed that the prevalence of developing HPV-16-positive HNSCC was 3.79 times higher in patients with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) (odd ratio [OR], 3.79; 95% CI, 1.70-8.44) than in those without T2DM, and 8.84 times higher in patients with history of primary HNSCC (OR, 8.84; 95% CI, 2.30-33.88) than in those without a history of primary HNSCC. HPV-16-positive HNSCC was also observed more in tonsils (OR, 4.02; 95% CL, 1.56-10.36) and less in non-alcohol drinker's oral cavity (OR, 0.14; 95% CI, 0.03-0.56). Furthermore, individual patients were followed-up for 1 to 13 years (median of 1 year). Patients with HPV-positive HNSCC had a median survival of 5 years (95% CI, 2.6-7.3 years). Among HPV-16-positive HNSCC cohort, T2DM was a risk for poorer prognosis (hazard ratio, 2.57; 95% Cl, 1.09-6.07), and had lower median survival of 3 years (95% CI, 1.8-4.1 years), as compared to 6 years (95% CI, 2.8-9.1 years) in non-T2DM.

conclusionsPatient-specific factors for HPV-positive HNSCC are T2DM, history of primary HNSCC and tonsillar site. T2DM is associated with poorer prognosis. These findings suggest that it might be beneficial if routine HPV-16 screening is carried out in T2DM patients which can provide better therapeutic and management strategies.

Indexed as

AgedCarcinoma, Squamous CellDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2DNA, ViralFemaleHead and Neck NeoplasmsHuman papillomavirus 16HumansLondonMaleMiddle AgedOdds RatioPapillomavirus InfectionsPrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsRegression AnalysisDNA, Viral

Identifiers

PMID31095649
PMCPMC6522118
OpenAlexW2944875966

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.