Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31513271›Full record

Observational studyEuropean heart journal2020

Machine learning of clinical variables and coronary artery calcium scoring for the prediction of obstructive coronary artery disease on coronary computed tomography angiography: analysis from the CONFIRM registry.

Subhi J Al'Aref, Gabriel Maliakal, Gurpreet Singh, Alexander R van Rosendael, Xiaoyue Ma, Zhuoran Xu, Omar Al Hussein Alawamlh, Benjamin Lee, Mohit Pandey, Stephan Achenbach and 32 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · bronzeAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in European heart journal, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01443637 (COronary CT Angiography Evaluation For Clinical Outcomes), which is not on this map. Cited by 121 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
121citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
21.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01443637 completednot on this map

COronary CT Angiography Evaluation For Clinical Outcomes: An International Multicenter Registry

TypeobservationalSponsorWeill Medical College of Cornell UniversityRan2003 to 2016Enrolled34,000ConditionsAtherosclerosis, Coronary Artery Disease, Cardiovascular Disease
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

121 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 234 citations in OpenAlex.

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  7. Usefulness of Random Forest Algorithm in Predicting Severe Acute Pancreatitis.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2022
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61 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

42 authors at 20 institutions in 10 countries.

Subhi J Al'ArefDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Gabriel MaliakalDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Gurpreet SinghDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Alexander R van RosendaelDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Xiaoyue MaDepartment of Healthcare Policy and Research, New York-Presbyterian Hospital and the Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY, USA.
Zhuoran XuDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Omar Al Hussein AlawamlhDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Benjamin LeeDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Mohit PandeyDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Stephan AchenbachDepartment of Cardiology, Friedrich-Alexander-University Erlangen-Nuremburg, Germany.
Mouaz H Al-MallahHouston Methodist DeBakey Heart & Vascular Center, Houston Methodist Hospital, TX, USA.
Daniele AndreiniCentro Cardiologico Monzino, IRCCS Milan, Italy.
Jeroen J BaxDepartment of Cardiology, Leiden University Medical Center, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Daniel S BermanDepartment of Imaging and Medicine, Cedars Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Matthew J BudoffDepartment of Medicine, Los Angeles Biomedical Research Institute, Torrance, CA, USA.
Filippo CademartiriCardiovascular Imaging Center, SDN IRCCS, Naples, Italy.
Tracy Q CallisterTennessee Heart and Vascular Institute, Hendersonville, TN, USA.
Hyuk-Jae ChangDivision of Cardiology, Severance Cardiovascular Hospital and Severance Biomedical Science Institute, Yonsei University College of Medicine, Yonsei University Health System, Seoul, South Korea.
Kavitha ChinnaiyanDepartment of Cardiology, William Beaumont Hospital, Royal Oak, MI, USA.
Benjamin J W ChowDepartment of Medicine and Radiology, University of Ottawa, ON, Canada.
Ricardo C CuryDepartment of Radiology, Miami Cardiac and Vascular Institute, Miami, FL, USA.
Augustin DeLagoCapitol Cardiology Associates, Albany, NY, USA.
Gudrun FeuchtnerDepartment of Radiology, Medical University of Innsbruck, Innsbruck, Austria.
Martin HadamitzkyDepartment of Radiology and Nuclear Medicine, German Heart Center Munich, Munich, Germany.
Joerg HausleiterMedizinische Klinik I der Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany.
Philipp A KaufmannDepartment of Nuclear Medicine, University Hospital, Zurich, Switzerland and University of Zurich, Switzerland.
Yong-Jin KimSeoul National University Hospital, Seoul, South Korea.
Jonathon A LeipsicDepartment of Medicine and Radiology, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC, Canada.
Erica MaffeiDepartment of Radiology, Area Vasta 1/ASUR Marche, Urbino, Italy.
Hugo MarquesUNICA, Unit of Cardiovascular Imaging, Hospital da Luz, Lisboa, Portugal.
Pedro de Araújo GonçalvesUNICA, Unit of Cardiovascular Imaging, Hospital da Luz, Lisboa, Portugal.
Gianluca PontoneCentro Cardiologico Monzino, IRCCS Milan, Italy.
Gilbert L RaffDepartment of Cardiology, William Beaumont Hospital, Royal Oak, MI, USA.
Ronen RubinshteinDepartment of Cardiology at the Lady Davis Carmel Medical Center, The Ruth and Bruce Rappaport School of Medicine, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, Haifa, Israel.
Todd C VillinesDivision of Cardiovascular Medicine, Department of Medicine, University of Virginia Health System, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Heidi GransarDepartment of Imaging and Medicine, Cedars Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
Yao LuDepartment of Healthcare Policy and Research, New York-Presbyterian Hospital and the Weill Cornell Medical College, New York, NY, USA.
Erica C JonesDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Jessica M PeñaDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Fay Y LinDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
James K MinDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
Leslee J ShawDalio Institute of Cardiovascular Imaging, Weill Cornell Medicine and NewYork-Presbyterian Hospital, New York, NY, USA.
NewYork–Presbyterian Hospital · USBeaumont Hospital, Royal Oak · USCedars-Sinai Medical Center · USCentro Cardiologico Monzino · ITHospital da Luz · PTCapital Cardiology Associates · USDeutsches Herzzentrum München · DEFriedrich-Alexander-Universität Erlangen-Nürnberg · DEHouston Methodist · USInnsbruck Medical University · ATLeiden University Medical Center · NLLudwig-Maximilians-Universität München · DESDN Istituto di Ricerca Diagnostica e Nucleare · ITSeoul National University Hospital · KRTechnion – Israel Institute of Technology · ILThe Cardiac and Vascular Institute · USThe Lundquist Institute · USUniversity of British Columbia · CAUniversity of Ottawa · CAUniversity of Urbino · IT

Funding

Gender-Specific Coronary Plaque Characteristics and Risk of Myocardial InfarctionR01HL115150 · NHLBI · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI MIN, JAMES K · 2012 to 2016
$3.5M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL115150
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimsSymptom-based pretest probability scores that estimate the likelihood of obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD) in stable chest pain have moderate accuracy. We sought to develop a machine learning (ML) model, utilizing clinical factors and the coronary artery calcium score (CACS), to predict the presence of obstructive CAD on coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA). METHODS AND

resultsThe study screened 35 281 participants enrolled in the CONFIRM registry, who underwent ≥64 detector row CCTA evaluation because of either suspected or previously established CAD. A boosted ensemble algorithm (XGBoost) was used, with data split into a training set (80%) on which 10-fold cross-validation was done and a test set (20%). Performance was assessed of the (1) ML model (using 25 clinical and demographic features), (2) ML + CACS, (3) CAD consortium clinical score, (4) CAD consortium clinical score + CACS, and (5) updated Diamond-Forrester (UDF) score. The study population comprised of 13 054 patients, of whom 2380 (18.2%) had obstructive CAD (≥50% stenosis). Machine learning with CACS produced the best performance [area under the curve (AUC) of 0.881] compared with ML alone (AUC of 0.773), CAD consortium clinical score (AUC of 0.734), and with CACS (AUC of 0.866) and UDF (AUC of 0.682), P < 0.05 for all comparisons. CACS, age, and gender were the highest ranking features.

conclusionA ML model incorporating clinical features in addition to CACS can accurately estimate the pretest likelihood of obstructive CAD on CCTA. In clinical practice, the utilization of such an approach could improve risk stratification and help guide downstream management.

Indexed as

Machine LearningRegistriesCalciumComputed Tomography AngiographyCoronary AngiographyCoronary Artery DiseaseCoronary VesselsFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedMultidetector Computed TomographyPredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesROC CurveCalciumCoronary artery calcium scoreCoronary artery diseaseCoronary computed tomography angiographyMachine learning

Identifiers

PMID31513271
PMCPMC7849944
OpenAlexW2973091513

What Socratic holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.