Evidence map›Paper›PMID 31843887›Full record

ArticleProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America2019

Virus-virus interactions impact the population dynamics of influenza and the common cold.

Sema Nickbakhsh, Colette Mair, Louise Matthews, Richard Reeve, Paul C D Johnson, Fiona Thorburn, Beatrix von Wissmann, Arlene Reynolds, James McMenamin, Rory N Gunson and 1 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2019. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 313 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
313citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
47.9field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

313 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 535 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. Exposure tobioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
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  14. Epidemiology ofEuro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026
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253 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Sema NickbakhshMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Institute of Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, G61 1QH Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Colette MairMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Institute of Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, G61 1QH Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Louise MatthewsBoyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, G12 8QQ Glasgow, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-4420-8367
Richard ReeveBoyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, G12 8QQ Glasgow, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-2589-8091
Paul C D JohnsonBoyd Orr Centre for Population and Ecosystem Health, Institute of Biodiversity, Animal Health and Comparative Medicine, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, G12 8QQ Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Fiona ThorburnThe Queen Elizabeth University Hospital, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, G51 4TF Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Beatrix von WissmannPublic Health, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, G12 0XH Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Arlene ReynoldsHealth Protection Scotland, NHS National Services Scotland, G2 6QE Glasgow, United Kingdom.
James McMenaminHealth Protection Scotland, NHS National Services Scotland, G2 6QE Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Rory N GunsonWest of Scotland Specialist Virology Centre, NHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde, G31 2ER Glasgow, United Kingdom.
Pablo R MurciaMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Institute of Infection, Immunity and Inflammation, College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences, University of Glasgow, G61 1QH Glasgow, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-4352-394X
Glasgow Centre for Population Health · GBMRC University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research · GBNHS Greater Glasgow and Clyde · GBHealth Protection Scotland · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_UU_12014/9
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The human respiratory tract hosts a diverse community of cocirculating viruses that are responsible for acute respiratory infections. This shared niche provides the opportunity for virus-virus interactions which have the potential to affect individual infection risks and in turn influence dynamics of infection at population scales. However, quantitative evidence for interactions has lacked suitable data and appropriate analytical tools. Here, we expose and quantify interactions among respiratory viruses using bespoke analyses of infection time series at the population scale and coinfections at the individual host scale. We analyzed diagnostic data from 44,230 cases of respiratory illness that were tested for 11 taxonomically broad groups of respiratory viruses over 9 y. Key to our analyses was accounting for alternative drivers of correlated infection frequency, such as age and seasonal dependencies in infection risk, allowing us to obtain strong support for the existence of negative interactions between influenza and noninfluenza viruses and positive interactions among noninfluenza viruses. In mathematical simulations that mimic 2-pathogen dynamics, we show that transient immune-mediated interference can cause a relatively ubiquitous common cold-like virus to diminish during peak activity of a seasonal virus, supporting the potential role of innate immunity in driving the asynchronous circulation of influenza A and rhinovirus. These findings have important implications for understanding the linked epidemiological dynamics of viral respiratory infections, an important step towards improved accuracy of disease forecasting models and evaluation of disease control interventions.

Indexed as

ecologyepidemiologyvirology

Identifiers

PMID31843887
PMCPMC6936719
OpenAlexW2995514760

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.