Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32239173›Full record

SynthesisAge and ageing2020

The consistent burden in published estimates of delirium occurrence in medical inpatients over four decades: a systematic review and meta-analysis study.

Kate Gibb, Anna Seeley, Terry Quinn, Najma Siddiqi, Susan Shenkin, Kenneth Rockwood, Daniel Davis

Open access · hybridAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Age and ageing, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 130 papers, 9 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
130citing papers in PubMed, 9 pooled it
14.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

130 citing papers in PubMed, 9 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 258 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Delirium among older adults living at home: a systematic review of prevalence, incidence, and risk factors.The British journal of general practice : the journal of the Royal College of General Practitioners · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Five-decade prevalence of delirium in pneumonia, risk factors and associated mortality: a systematic review and meta-analysis.European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society · 2025
    Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
  7. Pooled it
  8. Pooled it
  9. Pooled it
  10. Trial
  11. [Treatment of delirium with psychotropic drugs-update 2026].Zeitschrift fur Gerontologie und Geriatrie · 2026
    Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Observational
  17. Article
  18. Article
  19. Review
  20. Article

70 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Kate GibbMRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing at UCL, Department of Population Science and Experimental Medicine, London, UK.
Anna SeeleyMRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing at UCL, Department of Population Science and Experimental Medicine, London, UK.
Terry QuinnInstitute of Cardiovascular and Medical Sciences, University of Glasgow, UK.
Najma SiddiqiDepartment of Health Sciences, University of York, UK.
Susan ShenkinDepartment of Geriatric Medicine, University of Edinburgh, UK.
Kenneth RockwoodMRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing at UCL, Department of Population Science and Experimental Medicine, London, UK.
Daniel DavisMRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing at UCL, Department of Population Science and Experimental Medicine, London, UK.
MRC Unit for Lifelong Health and Ageing · GBUniversity College London · GBUniversity of Edinburgh · GBUniversity of Glasgow · GBUniversity of York · GB

Funding

Department of Health PB-PG-0610-22068Medical Research Council MC_UU_00019/2Wellcome TrustWellcome Trust WT107467
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionDelirium is associated with a wide range of adverse patient safety outcomes, yet it remains consistently under-diagnosed. We undertook a systematic review of studies describing delirium in adult medical patients in secondary care. We investigated if changes in healthcare complexity were associated with trends in reported delirium over the last four decades.

methodsWe used identical criteria to a previous systematic review, only including studies using internationally accepted diagnostic criteria for delirium (the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders and the International Statistical Classification of Diseases). Estimates were pooled across studies using random effects meta-analysis, and we estimated temporal changes using meta-regression. We investigated publication bias with funnel plots.

resultsWe identified 15 further studies to add to 18 studies from the original review. Overall delirium occurrence was 23% (95% CI 19-26%) (33 studies) though this varied according to diagnostic criteria used (highest in DSM-IV, lowest in DSM-5). There was no change from 1980 to 2019, nor was case-mix (average age of sample, proportion with dementia) different. Overall, risk of bias was moderate or low, though there was evidence of increasing publication bias over time. DISCUSSION: The incidence and prevalence of delirium in hospitals appears to be stable, though publication bias may have masked true changes. Nonetheless, delirium remains a challenging and urgent priority for clinical diagnosis and care pathways.

Indexed as

DeliriumInpatientsDiagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental DisordersHumansIncidencePrevalencedeliriumepidemiologymeta-analysisolder peoplesystematic review

Identifiers

PMID32239173
PMCPMC7187871
OpenAlexW3015144627

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.