Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32312778›Full record

ArticleAntimicrobial agents and chemotherapy2020

Prediction of Antibiotic Susceptibility for Urinary Tract Infection in a Hospital Setting.

Courtney Hebert, Yuan Gao, Protiva Rahman, Courtney Dewart, Mark Lustberg, Preeti Pancholi, Kurt Stevenson, Nirav S Shah, Erinn M Hade

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Antimicrobial agents and chemotherapy, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 27 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Optimal antibiotic use in the intensive care unit.Critical care (London, England) · 2025
    Review
  3. Article
  4. Risk factors for urological infection after laparoscopic ureterolithotomy.American journal of translational research · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Review
  9. BSAC Vanguard Series: Artificial intelligence and antibiotic stewardship.The Journal of antimicrobial chemotherapy · 2022
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Courtney HebertDepartment of Biomedical Informatics, The Ohio State University College of Medicine, Columbus, Ohio, USA Courtney.Hebert@osumc.edu erinn.hade@osumc.edu.
Yuan GaoDivision of Biostatistics, The Ohio State University College of Public Health, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
Protiva RahmanDepartment of Computer Science and Engineering, The Ohio State University College of Engineering, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
Courtney DewartDivision of Epidemiology, The Ohio State University College of Public Health, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
Mark LustbergDivision of Infectious Diseases, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
Preeti PancholiDepartment of Pathology, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
Kurt StevensonDivision of Infectious Diseases, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, Ohio, USA.
Nirav S ShahDivision of Infectious Diseases, NorthShore University HealthSystem, Evanston, Illinois, USA.
Erinn M HadeCenter for Biostatistics, Department of Biomedical Informatics, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, Ohio, USA Courtney.Hebert@osumc.edu erinn.hade@osumc.edu.
The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center · USThe Ohio State University · USNorthShore University HealthSystem · US

Funding

The Ohio State University Center for clinical and Translational ScienceUL1TR001070 · NCATS · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI JACKSON, REBECCA D · 2013 to 2017
$22.6M
Automation and Multi-Site Validation of a Personalized Empiric Antibiotic AdvisorR01AI116975 · NIAID · OHIO STATE UNIVERSITY · PI HEBERT, COURTNEY L. · 2015 to 2019
$1.9M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001070NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI116975
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Empiric antibiotic prescribing can be supported by guidelines and/or local antibiograms, but these have limitations. We sought to use data from a comprehensive electronic health record to use statistical learning to develop predictive models for individual antibiotics that incorporate patient- and hospital-specific factors. This paper reports on the development and validation of these models with a large retrospective cohort. This was a retrospective cohort study including hospitalized patients with positive urine cultures in the first 48 h of hospitalization at a 1,500-bed tertiary-care hospital over a 4.5-year period. All first urine cultures with susceptibilities were included. Statistical learning techniques, including penalized logistic regression, were used to create predictive models for cefazolin, ceftriaxone, ciprofloxacin, cefepime, and piperacillin-tazobactam. These were validated on a held-out cohort. The final data set used for analysis included 6,366 patients. Final model covariates included demographics, comorbidity score, recent antibiotic use, recent antimicrobial resistance, and antibiotic allergies. Models had acceptable to good discrimination in the training data set and acceptable performance in the validation data set, with a point estimate for area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) that ranged from 0.65 for ceftriaxone to 0.69 for cefazolin. All models had excellent calibration. We used electronic health record data to create predictive models to estimate antibiotic susceptibilities for urinary tract infections in hospitalized patients. Our models had acceptable performance in a held-out validation cohort.

Indexed as

Urinary Tract InfectionsAnti-Bacterial AgentsHospitalsHumansMicrobial Sensitivity TestsRetrospective StudiesAnti-Bacterial Agentsantibiotic coverageantibiotic resistancepredictive modelsurinary tract infection

Identifiers

PMID32312778
PMCPMC7318043
OpenAlexW3016496201

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.