Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32851491›Full record

ArticleClinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society2021

Risk modeling in transcatheter aortic valve replacement remains unsolved: an external validation study in 2946 German patients.

Georg Wolff, Jasmin Shamekhi, Baravan Al-Kassou, Noriaki Tabata, Claudio Parco, Kathrin Klein, Oliver Maier, Alexander Sedaghat, Amin Polzin, Atsushi Sugiura and 10 more

Open access · hybridAbstract readMulticenter StudyValidation Study
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical research in cardiology : official journal of the German Cardiac Society, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 12% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 25 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Observational
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Circulating Monocyte Subsets and Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement.International journal of molecular sciences · 2022
    Review
  14. Anatomy of a Transcatheter Mitral Valve Service.Frontiers in cardiovascular medicine · 2022
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

20 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Georg WolffDivision of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Heinrich Heine University, Medical Faculty, Moorenstr. 5, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany. Georg.Wolff@med.uni-duesseldorf.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1734-6177
Jasmin ShamekhiDepartment of Medicine II, Heart Center Bonn, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Baravan Al-KassouDepartment of Medicine II, Heart Center Bonn, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Noriaki TabataDepartment of Medicine II, Heart Center Bonn, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Claudio ParcoDivision of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Heinrich Heine University, Medical Faculty, Moorenstr. 5, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Kathrin KleinDivision of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Heinrich Heine University, Medical Faculty, Moorenstr. 5, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Oliver MaierDivision of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Heinrich Heine University, Medical Faculty, Moorenstr. 5, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Alexander SedaghatDepartment of Medicine II, Heart Center Bonn, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Amin PolzinDivision of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Heinrich Heine University, Medical Faculty, Moorenstr. 5, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Atsushi SugiuraDepartment of Medicine II, Heart Center Bonn, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Christian JungDivision of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Heinrich Heine University, Medical Faculty, Moorenstr. 5, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Eberhard GrubeDepartment of Medicine II, Heart Center Bonn, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Ralf WestenfeldDivision of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Heinrich Heine University, Medical Faculty, Moorenstr. 5, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Andrea IcksInstitute for Health Services Research and Health Economics, Centre for Health and Society, Medical Faculty, Heinrich-Heine-University, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Tobias ZeusDivision of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Heinrich Heine University, Medical Faculty, Moorenstr. 5, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Jan-Malte SinningDepartment of Medicine II, Heart Center Bonn, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Stephan BaldusDivision of Cardiology, Pneumology, Angiology and Intensive Care, Department of Internal Medicine III, University of Cologne, Cologne, Germany.
Georg NickenigDepartment of Medicine II, Heart Center Bonn, University Hospital Bonn, Bonn, Germany.
Malte KelmDivision of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Heinrich Heine University, Medical Faculty, Moorenstr. 5, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Verena VeulemansDivision of Cardiology, Pulmonology and Vascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Heinrich Heine University, Medical Faculty, Moorenstr. 5, 40225, Düsseldorf, Germany.
Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf · DEUniversity Hospital Bonn · DEUniversity of Cologne · DE

Funding

Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft TRR 259: Aortic diseasesMedizinische Fakultät, Heinrich-Heine-Universität Düsseldorf 2018-32
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSurgical risk prediction models are routinely used to guide decision-making for transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). New and updated TAVR-specific models have been developed to improve risk stratification; however, the best option remains unknown.

objectiveTo perform a comparative validation study of six risk models for the prediction of 30-day mortality in TAVR METHODS AND

resultsA total of 2946 patients undergoing transfemoral (TF, n = 2625) or transapical (TA, n = 321) TAVR from 2008 to 2018 from the German Rhine Transregio Aortic Diseases cohort were included. Six surgical and TAVR-specific risk scoring models (LogES I, ES II, STS PROM, FRANCE-2, OBSERVANT, GAVS-II) were evaluated for the prediction of 30-day mortality. Observed 30-day mortality was 3.7% (TF 3.2%; TA 7.5%), mean 30-day mortality risk prediction varied from 5.8 ± 5.0% (OBSERVANT) to 23.4 ± 15.9% (LogES I). Discrimination performance (ROC analysis, c-indices) ranged from 0.60 (OBSERVANT) to 0.67 (STS PROM), without significant differences between models, between TF or TA approach or over time. STS PROM discriminated numerically best in TF TAVR (c-index 0.66; range of c-indices 0.60 to 0.66); performance was very similar in TA TAVR (LogES I, ES II, FRANCE-2 and GAVS-II all with c-index 0.67). Regarding calibration, all risk scoring models-especially LogES I-overestimated mortality risk, especially in high-risk patients.

conclusionsSurgical as well as TAVR-specific risk scoring models showed mediocre performance in prediction of 30-day mortality risk for TAVR in the German Rhine Transregio Aortic Diseases cohort. Development of new or updated risk models is necessary to improve risk stratification.

Indexed as

Decision MakingAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGermanyHumansIncidenceMalePostoperative ComplicationsRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSurvival RateTranscatheter Aortic Valve ReplacementEuroSCOREGAVSMortalityRisk predictionTAVITAVR

Identifiers

PMID32851491
PMCPMC7907023
OpenAlexW3080774071

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.