Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32901815›Full record

ArticleClinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America2021

Long-term Infective Endocarditis Mortality Associated With Injection Opioid Use in the United States: A Modeling Study.

Joshua A Barocas, Golnaz Eftekhari Yazdi, Alexandra Savinkina, Shayla Nolen, Caroline Savitzky, Jeffrey H Samet, Honora Englander, Benjamin P Linas

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 42 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
42citing papers in PubMed
6.5field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

42 citing papers in PubMed, 59 citations in OpenAlex.

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  10. Ethical Management of Challenging Behaviors in Hospitalized People Who Use Drugs.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Joshua A BarocasSection of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Golnaz Eftekhari YazdiSection of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Alexandra SavinkinaSection of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Shayla NolenSection of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Caroline SavitzkySection of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Jeffrey H SametClinical Addiction Research and Education Unit, Section of General Internal Medicine, Boston Medical Center, Boston University School of Medicine, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Honora EnglanderDivision of Hospital Medicine, Oregon Health Sciences University, Portland, Oregon, USA.
Benjamin P LinasSection of Infectious Diseases, Boston Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.
Boston Medical Center · USOregon Health & Science University · US

Funding

Utilization of health services after engagement with opioid use disorder (OUD) treatment provider by individuals with and without post-traumatic stress disorderP30DA040500 · NIDA · WEILL MEDICAL COLL OF CORNELL UNIV · PI Sean M. Murphy, Bruce R Schackman · 2015 to 2026
$20.7M
Researching Effective Strategies to Prevent Opioid Death (RESPOND)R01DA046527 · NIDA · BOSTON MEDICAL CENTER · PI Benjamin P. Linas · 2018 to 2026
$7.2M
Development of a novel community-based high-performance surveillance network for drug useDP2DA051864 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI BAROCAS, JOSHUA ADAM · 2020 to 2020
$2.3M
Strategies to reduce serious bacterial infections and overdose among people who inject drugsK01DA051684 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO DENVER · PI BAROCAS, JOSHUA ADAM · 2020 to 2024
$809k
NIDA NIH HHS DP2 DA051864NIDA NIH HHS K01 DA051684NIDA NIH HHS P30 DA040500NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA046527
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe expansion of the US opioid epidemic has led to significant increases in infections, such as infective endocarditis (IE), which is tied to injection behaviors. We aimed to estimate the population-level IE mortality rate among people who inject opioids and compare the risk of IE death against the risks of death from other causes.

methodsWe developed a microsimulation model of the natural history of injection opioid use. We defined injection behavior profiles by both injection frequency and injection techniques. We accounted for competing risks of death and populated the model with primary and published data. We modeled cohorts of 1 million individuals with different injection behavior profiles until age 60 years. We combined model-generated estimates with published data to project the total expected number of IE deaths in the United States by 2030.

resultsThe probabilities of death from IE by age 60 years for 20-, 30-, and 40-year-old men with high-frequency use with higher infection risk techniques compared to lower risk techniques for IE were 53.8% versus 3.7%, 51.4% versus 3.1%, and 44.5% versus 2.2%, respectively. The predicted population-level attributable fraction of 10-year mortality from IE among all risk groups was 20%. We estimated that approximately 257 800 people are expected to die from IE by 2030.

conclusionsThe expected burden of IE among people who inject opioids in the United States is large. Adopting a harm reduction approach, including through expansion of syringe service programs, to address injection behaviors could have a major impact on decreasing the mortality rate associated with the opioid epidemic.

Indexed as

EndocarditisEndocarditis, BacterialOpioid-Related DisordersSubstance Abuse, IntravenousAnalgesics, OpioidHumansInjectionsMaleMiddle AgedUnited StatesAnalgesics, Opioidendocarditisinjection drug useopioidsserious infectionssimulation modeling

Identifiers

PMID32901815
PMCPMC8662770
OpenAlexW3083798954

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.