Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33253141›Full record

ArticlePLoS biology2020

Little evidence for an effect of smoking on multiple sclerosis risk: A Mendelian Randomization study.

Ruth E Mitchell, Kirsty Bates, Robyn E Wootton, Adil Harroud, J Brent Richards, George Davey Smith, Marcus R Munafò

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PLoS biology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Neuroinflammation in neurodegenerationFrontiers in immunology · 2022
    Review
  10. Review
  11. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Ruth E MitchellMedical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-3506-160X
Kirsty BatesPopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-1755-6983
Robyn E WoottonMedical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-3961-3202
Adil HarroudDepartment of Neurology, University of California, San Francisco, California, United States of America.ORCID 0000-0003-2616-7274
J Brent RichardsDepartment of Human Genetics, McGill University, Montreal, Quebec, Canada.
George Davey SmithMedical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-1407-8314
Marcus R MunafòMedical Research Council Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-4049-993X

Funding

CIHRDepartment of HealthMedical Research Council MC_UU_00011/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_00011/7
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The causes of multiple sclerosis (MS) remain unknown. Smoking has been associated with MS in observational studies and is often thought of as an environmental risk factor. We used two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) to examine whether this association is causal using genetic variants identified in genome-wide association studies (GWASs) as associated with smoking. We assessed both smoking initiation and lifetime smoking behaviour (which captures smoking duration, heaviness, and cessation). There was very limited evidence for a meaningful effect of smoking on MS susceptibility as measured using summary statistics from the International Multiple Sclerosis Genetics Consortium (IMSGC) meta-analysis, including 14,802 cases and 26,703 controls. There was no clear evidence for an effect of smoking on the risk of developing MS (smoking initiation: odds ratio [OR] 1.03, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.92-1.61; lifetime smoking: OR 1.10, 95% CI 0.87-1.40). These findings suggest that smoking does not have a detrimental consequence on MS susceptibility. Further work is needed to determine the causal effect of smoking on MS progression.

Indexed as

Cigarette SmokingDisease SusceptibilityFemaleGenetic VariationGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansMaleMendelian Randomization AnalysisMultiple SclerosisOdds RatioPolymorphism, Single NucleotideRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID33253141
PMCPMC7728259

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.