Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33298026›Full record

SynthesisBMC medicine2020

The global, regional, and national burden of pancreatitis in 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

Guoqing Ouyang, Guangdong Pan, Qiang Liu, Yongrong Wu, Zhen Liu, Wuchang Lu, Shuai Li, Zheng Zhou, Yu Wen

Abstract readHistorical ArticleSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMC medicine, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 65 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
65citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

65 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  15. Observational
  16. Management of acute pancreatitis in the "no man's land".Internal and emergency medicine · 2025
    Review
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  18. Article
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5 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Guoqing OuyangDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China.
Guangdong PanDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China.
Qiang LiuDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China.
Yongrong WuDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China.
Zhen LiuDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China.
Wuchang LuDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China.
Shuai LiDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China.
Zheng ZhouDepartment of Hepatobiliary Surgery, Liuzhou People's Hospital, Liuzhou, Guangxi, China. zhouzhengmd@163.com.
Yu WenDepartment of General Surgery, The Second Xiangya Hospital, Central South University, Changsha, Hunan, China. wenyu2861@csu.edu.cn.

Funding

the Hubei Chen Xiaoping Technology Development Fund No: CXPJJH1190000-2019321
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPancreatitis is a critical public health problem, and the burden of pancreatitis is increasing. We report the rates and trends of the prevalence, incidence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for pancreatitis at the global, regional, and national levels in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2017, stratified by sex, age, and sociodemographic index (SDI).

methodsData on pancreatitis were available from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017. Numbers and age-standardized prevalence, incidence, and YLDs' rates per 100,000 population were estimated through a systematic analysis of modeled data from the 2017 GBD study. Both acute and chronic pancreatitis are being modeled separately in the GBD 2017; however, our data show acute and chronic pancreatitis together. Estimates were reported with uncertainty intervals (UIs).

resultsGlobally, in 2017, the age-standardized rates were 76.2 (95% UIs 68.9 to 83.4), 20.6 (19.2 to 22.1), and 4.5 (2.3 to 7.6) per 100,000 population for the point prevalence, incidence, and YLDs, respectively. From 1990 to 2017, the percent changes in the age-standardized prevalence and YLDs rates increased, whereas the age-standardized incidence rate decreased. The global prevalence increased with age up to 60-64 years and 44-49 years in females and males, respectively, and then decreased, with no significant difference between females and males. The global prevalence rate increased with age, peaking in the 95+ age group, with no difference between sexes. Generally, positive correlation between age-standardized YLDs and SDIs at the regional and national levels was observed. Slovakia (297.7 [273.4 to 325.3]), Belgium (274.3 [242.6 to 306.5]), and Poland (266.7 [248.2 to 284.4]) had the highest age-standardized prevalence rates in 2017. Taiwan (Province of China) (104.2% [94.8 to 115.2%]), Maldives (72.4% [66.5 to 79.2%]), and Iceland (64.8% [57.2 to 72.9%]) had the largest increases in age-standardized prevalence rates from 1990 to 2017.

conclusionsPancreatitis is a major public health issue worldwide. The age-standardized prevalence and YLDs rates increased, but the age-standardized incidence rate decreased from 1990 to 2017. Improving the quality of pancreatitis health data in all regions and countries is strongly recommended for better monitoring the burden of pancreatitis.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseasePancreatitisFemaleHistory, 20th CenturyHistory, 21st CenturyHumansIncidenceMalePrevalenceGlobal Burden of DiseaseIncidencePancreatitisPrevalenceYears lived with disability

Identifiers

PMID33298026
PMCPMC7726906

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.