ArticleSocial science & medicine (1982)2021
COVID-19 does not stop at open borders: Spatial contagion among local authority districts during England's first wave.
Article in Social science & medicine (1982), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.
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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
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Who cites it
11 citing papers in PubMed.
- A Bayesian mixture model for Poisson network autoregression.Social network analysis and mining · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal pattern of COVID-19 mortality and its relationship with socioeconomic and environmental factors in England.Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology · 2023Article
- Fine-scale variation in the effect of national border on COVID-19 spread: A case study of the Saxon-Czech border region.Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology · 2023Article
- Modularity maximization to design contiguous policy zones for pandemic response.European journal of operational research · 2023Article
- Social Factors as Major Determinants of Rural Development Variation for Predicting Epidemic Vulnerability: A Lesson for the Future.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Community Roots of COVID-19 Infection Rates Between Population Composition and Regional Systems in Romania.Journal of prevention (2022) · 2022Article
- Effect of physical distancing on Covid-19 incidence in Brazil: does the strictness of mandatory rules matter?Health policy and planning · 2021Article
- Voting in a global pandemic: Assessing dueling influences of Covid-19 on turnout.Social science quarterly · 2021Article
- Bordering on crisis: A qualitative analysis of focus group, social media, and news media perspectives on the Republic of Ireland-Northern Ireland border during the 'first wave' of the COVID-19 pandemic.Social science & medicine (1982) · 2021Article
- COVID-19: first long-term care facility outbreak in the Netherlands following cross-border introduction from Germany, March 2020.BMC infectious diseases · 2021Article
- Does high COVID-19 spread impact neighbouring countries? Quasi-experimental evidence from the first year of the pandemic in Ireland.HRB open research · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
3 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Infectious diseases generate spatial dependence or contagion not only between individuals but also between geographical units. New infections in one local district do not just depend on properties of the district, but also on the strength of social ties of its population with populations in other districts and their own degree of infectiousness. We show that SARS-CoV-2 infections during the first wave of the pandemic spread across district borders in England as a function of pre-crisis commute to work streams between districts. Crucially, the strength of this spatial contagion depends on the phase of the epidemic. In the first pre-lockdown phase, the spread of the virus across district borders is high. During the lockdown period, the cross-border spread of new infections slows down significantly. Spatial contagion increases again after the lockdown is eased but not statistically significantly so.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.