Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33503828›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2021

The Obesity Paradox Predicts the Second Wave of COVID-19 to Be Severe in Western Countries.

Indrikis A Krams, Priit Jõers, Severi Luoto, Giedrius Trakimas, Vilnis Lietuvietis, Ronalds Krams, Irena Kaminska, Markus J Rantala, Tatjana Krama

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
1.0field-weighted citation impact, top 22% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

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  9. Acute kidney injury and COVID-19.The Egyptian journal of internal medicine · 2021
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 6 institutions in 5 countries.

Indrikis A KramsDepartment of Biotechnology, Daugavpils University, LV5401 Daugavpils, Latvia.ORCID 0000-0001-7150-4108
Priit JõersInstitute of Molecular and Cell Biology, University of Tartu, EE51010 Tartu, Estonia.
Severi LuotoSchool of Psychology, University of Auckland, 1142 Auckland, New Zealand.ORCID 0000-0002-3904-3994
Giedrius TrakimasInstitute of Biosciences, Vilnius University, 10257 Vilnius, Lithuania.ORCID 0000-0001-6294-0194
Vilnis LietuvietisDepartment of Surgery, Riga Stradins University, LV1007 Riga, Latvia.
Ronalds KramsDepartment of Biotechnology, Daugavpils University, LV5401 Daugavpils, Latvia.
Irena KaminskaDepartment of Anatomy and Physiology, Daugavpils University, LV5401 Daugavpils, Latvia.
Markus J RantalaDepartment of Biology, Section of Ecology, University of Turku, FI-20014 Turku, Finland.
Tatjana KramaDepartment of Biotechnology, Daugavpils University, LV5401 Daugavpils, Latvia.
Daugavpils University · LVRiga East University Hospital · LVUniversity of Auckland · NZUniversity of Tartu · EEUniversity of Turku · FIVilnius University · LT

Funding

Latvijas Zinātnes Padome lzp-2018/1-0393Latvijas Zinātnes Padome lzp-2018/2-0057
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

While COVID-19 infection and mortality rates are soaring in Western countries, Southeast Asian countries have successfully avoided the second wave of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic despite high population density. We provide a biochemical hypothesis for the connection between low COVID-19 incidence, mortality rates, and high visceral adiposity in Southeast Asian populations. The SARS-CoV-2 virus uses angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) as a gateway into the human body. Although the highest expression levels of ACE2 are found in people's visceral adipose tissue in Southeast Asia, this does not necessarily make them vulnerable to COVID-19. Hypothetically, high levels of visceral adiposity cause systemic inflammation, thus decreasing the ACE2 amount on the surface of both visceral adipocytes and alveolar epithelial type 2 cells in the lungs. Extra weight gained during the pandemic is expected to increase visceral adipose tissue in Southeast Asians, further decreasing the ACE2 pool. In contrast, weight gain can increase local inflammation in fat depots in Western people, leading to worse COVID-related outcomes. Because of the biological mechanisms associated with fat accumulation, inflammation, and their differential expression in Southeast Asian and Western populations, the second wave of the pandemic may be more severe in Western countries, while Southeast Asians may benefit from their higher visceral fat depots.

Indexed as

PandemicsAdiposityAngiotensin-Converting Enzyme 2Asian PeopleAsia, SoutheasternCOVID-19HumansIncidenceInflammationIntra-Abdominal FatObesityPeptidyl-Dipeptidase AWhite PeopleACE2 protein, humanAngiotensin-Converting Enzyme 2Peptidyl-Dipeptidase AACE2COVID-19Quarantine-15SARS-CoV-2second wavesystemic inflammationvisceral adipose tissueweight gain

Identifiers

PMID33503828
PMCPMC7908102
OpenAlexW3123107774

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.