Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33622257›Full record

SynthesisBMC gastroenterology2021

Risk indices predicting graft use, graft and patient survival in solid pancreas transplantation: a systematic review.

Jonathan E H Ling, Timothy Coughlan, Kevan R Polkinghorne, John Kanellis

Open access · goldAbstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in BMC gastroenterology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 29% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 6 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Donor Blood Tests do Not Predict Pancreas Graft Survival After Simultaneous Pancreas Kidney Transplantation; a National Cohort Study.Transplant international : official journal of the European Society for Organ Transplantation · 2024
    Article
  6. Pancreatic Allograft Thrombosis: Implementation of the CPAT-Grading System in a Retrospective Series of Simultaneous Pancreas-Kidney Transplantation.Transplant international : official journal of the European Society for Organ Transplantation · 2023
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Jonathan E H LingDepartment of Nephrology, Monash Medical Centre, Monash Health, 246 Clayton Road, Clayton, Melbourne, VIC, 3168, Australia. jlingeh@gmail.com.
Timothy CoughlanDepartment of Renal Services, Latrobe Regional Hospital, Victoria, Australia.
Kevan R PolkinghorneDepartment of Nephrology, Monash Medical Centre, Monash Health, 246 Clayton Road, Clayton, Melbourne, VIC, 3168, Australia.
John KanellisDepartment of Nephrology, Monash Medical Centre, Monash Health, 246 Clayton Road, Clayton, Melbourne, VIC, 3168, Australia.
Monash Health · AULatrobe Regional Hospital · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk indices such as the pancreas donor risk index (PDRI) and pre-procurement pancreas allocation suitability score (P-PASS) are utilised in solid pancreas transplantation however no review has compared all derived and validated indices in this field. We systematically reviewed all risk indices in solid pancreas transplantation to compare their predictive ability for transplant outcomes.

methodsMedline Plus, Embase and the Cochrane Library were searched for studies deriving and externally validating risk indices in solid pancreas transplantation for the outcomes of pancreas and patient survival and donor pancreas acceptance for transplantation. Results were analysed descriptively due to limited reporting of discrimination and calibration metrics required to assess model performance.

resultsFrom 25 included studies, discrimination and calibration metrics were only reported in 88% and 38% of derivation studies (n = 8) and in 25% and 25% of external validation studies (n = 12) respectively. 21 risk indices were derived with mild to moderate ability to predict risk (C-statistics 0.52-0.78). Donor age, donor body mass index (BMI) and donor gender were the commonest covariates within derived risk indices. Only PDRI and P-PASS were subsequently externally validated, with variable association with post-transplant outcomes. P-PASS was not associated with pancreas graft survival.

conclusionMost of the risk indices derived for use in solid pancreas transplantation were not externally validated (90%). PDRI and P-PASS are the only risk indices externally validated for solid pancreas transplantation, and when validated without reclassification measures, are associated with 1-year pancreas graft survival and donor pancreas acceptance respectively. Future risk indices incorporating recipient and other covariates alongside donor risk factors may have improved predictive ability for solid pancreas transplant outcomes.

Indexed as

Pancreas TransplantationGraft SurvivalHumansPancreasRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsTissue DonorsTreatment OutcomeOrgan acceptancePancreasRiskRisk indexSurvivalTransplantation

Identifiers

PMID33622257
PMCPMC7901078
OpenAlexW3129316339

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.