Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33630214›Full record

ArticleDigestive diseases and sciences2022

Incidence and Risk of Pancreatic Cancer in Patients with a New Diagnosis of Chronic Pancreatitis.

Satish Munigala, Divya S Subramaniam, Dipti P Subramaniam, Thomas E Burroughs, Darwin L Conwell, Sunil G Sheth

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In one paragraph

Article in Digestive diseases and sciences, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed, 28 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Satish MunigalaSaint Louis University Center for Outcomes Research (SLUCOR), 3545 Lafayette Ave, Salus Center 4th Floor, SLUCOR Office, St. Louis, MO, 63104, USA. satish.munigala@slu.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-0829-7967
Divya S SubramaniamSaint Louis University Center for Outcomes Research (SLUCOR), 3545 Lafayette Ave, Salus Center 4th Floor, SLUCOR Office, St. Louis, MO, 63104, USA.
Dipti P SubramaniamSchool of Nursing and Health Studies, University of Missouri-Kansas City, Kansas City, MO, USA.
Thomas E BurroughsSaint Louis University Center for Outcomes Research (SLUCOR), 3545 Lafayette Ave, Salus Center 4th Floor, SLUCOR Office, St. Louis, MO, 63104, USA.
Darwin L ConwellDivision of Gastroenterology, Hepatology and Nutrition, The Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center, Columbus, OH, USA.
Sunil G ShethHarvard Medical School, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, MA, USA.
Saint Louis University · USBeth Israel Deaconess Medical Center · USThe Ohio State University Wexner Medical Center · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundChronic pancreatitis (CP) is a risk factor for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC); nevertheless, the true incidence of PDAC in CP patients in the United States remains unclear.

aimsWe evaluated the risk of developing PDAC two or more years after a new diagnosis of CP.

methodsRetrospective study of veterans from September 1999 to October 2015. A three-year washout period was applied to exclude patients with preexisting CP and PDAC. PDAC risk was evaluated in patients with new-diagnosis CP and compared with controls without CP using Cox-proportional hazards model. CP, PDAC, and other covariates were extracted using ICD-9 codes.

resultsAfter exclusions, we identified 7,883,893 patients [new-diagnosis CP - 21,765 (0.28%)]. PDAC was diagnosed in 226 (1.04%) patients in the CP group and 15,858 (0.20%) patients in the control group (p < 0.001). CP patients had a significantly higher PDAC risk compared to controls > 2 years [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 4.28, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.74-4.89, p < 0.001], 5 years (adjusted HR 3.32, 95% CI 2.75-4.00, p < 0.001) and 10 years of follow-up (adjusted HR 3.14, 95% CI 1.99-4.93, p < 0.001), respectively. By multivariable analysis, age (odds ratio 1.02, 95% CI 1.00-1.03, p = 0.03), current smoker (odds ratio 1.67, 95% CI 1.02-2.74, p = 0.042), current smoker + alcoholic (odds ratio 2.29, 95% CI 1.41-3.52, p < 0.001), and diabetes (odds ratio 1.51, 95% CI 1.14-1.99, p = 0.004) were the independent risk factors for PDAC.

conclusionOur data show that after controlling for etiology of CP and other cofactors, the risk of PDAC increased in CP patients after two years of follow-up, and risk was consistent and sustained beyond 5 years and 10 years of follow-up.

Indexed as

AgedAge FactorsAlcoholismCarcinoma, Pancreatic DuctalDiabetes MellitusFemaleGallstonesHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedPancreatic NeoplasmsPancreatitis, AlcoholicPancreatitis, ChronicProportional Hazards ModelsRisk FactorsChronic pancreatitisInflammationPancreatic cancer riskPancreatic carcinogenesis

Identifiers

PMID33630214
OpenAlexW3129619424

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.