Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33714028›Full record

ArticleEBioMedicine2021

Shared genetic etiology between idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis and COVID-19 severity.

João Fadista, Luke M Kraven, Juha Karjalainen, Shea J Andrews, Frank Geller, COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative, J Kenneth Baillie, Louise V Wain, R Gisli Jenkins, Bjarke Feenstra

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in EBioMedicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 61 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
61citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
12.0field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

61 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 96 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. AAmerican journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2022
    Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Age-dependent Genetic Risk in Pulmonary Fibrosis Patients and Relatives.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Associations of Prepandemic Lung Function and Structure with COVID-19 Outcomes: The C4R Study.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2025
    Article
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Review

1 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 6 institutions in 5 countries.

João FadistaDepartment of Epidemiology Research, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark; Department of Clinical Sciences, Lund University Diabetes Centre, Malmö, Sweden; Institute for Molecular Medicine Finland (FIMM), University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland. Electronic address: joaofadista@gmail.com.
Luke M KravenDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom.
Juha KarjalainenInstitute for Molecular Medicine Finland (FIMM), University of Helsinki, Helsinki, Finland; Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, MA, United States; Broad Institute of Harvard and MIT, Cambridge, MA, United States.
Shea J AndrewsDepartment of Neuroscience, Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, New York, NY, United States.
Frank GellerDepartment of Epidemiology Research, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
COVID-19 Host Genetics Initiative
J Kenneth BaillieRoslin Institute, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom; Intensive Care Unit, Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom.
Louise V WainDepartment of Health Sciences, University of Leicester, Leicester, United Kingdom; NIHR, Leicester Respiratory, Biomedical Research Centre, Glenfield Hospital, Leicester, United Kingdom.
R Gisli JenkinsNottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, City Campus, Nottingham, United Kingdom; NIHR Biomedical Research Centre, University of Nottingham, Nottingham, United Kingdom.
Bjarke FeenstraDepartment of Epidemiology Research, Statens Serum Institut, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Statens Serum Institut · DKUniversity of Leicester · GBBroad Institute · USIcahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai · USNottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust · GBRoslin Institute · GB

Funding

Elucidating the causal associations underlying Alzheimer's diseaseK99AG070109 · NIA · ICAHN SCHOOL OF MEDICINE AT MOUNT SINAI · PI ANDREWS, SHEA J · 2021 to 2022
$252k
NIA NIH HHS K99 AG070109
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIdiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) is a complex lung disease, characterized by progressive lung scarring. Severe COVID-19 is associated with substantial pneumonitis and has a number of shared major risk factors with IPF. This study aimed to determine the genetic correlation between IPF and severe COVID-19 and assess a potential causal role of genetically increased risk of IPF on COVID-19 severity.

methodsThe genetic correlation between IPF and COVID-19 severity was estimated with linkage disequilibrium (LD) score regression. We performed a Mendelian randomization (MR) study for IPF causality in COVID-19. Genetic variants associated with IPF susceptibility (P<5 × 10

findingsWe detected a positive genetic correlation of IPF with COVID-19 severity (rg=0·31 [95% CI 0·04-0·57], P = 0·023). The MR estimates for severe COVID-19 did not reveal any genetic association (OR 1·05, [95% CI 0·92-1·20], P = 0·43). However, outlier analysis revealed that the IPF risk allele rs35705950 at MUC5B had a different effect compared with the other variants. When rs35705950 was excluded, MR results provided evidence that genetically increased risk of IPF has a causal effect on COVID-19 severity (OR 1·21, [95% CI 1·06-1·38], P = 4·24 × 10

interpretationThe strongest genetic determinant of IPF, rs35705950 at MUC5B, seems to confer protection against COVID-19, whereas the combined effect of all other IPF risk loci seem to confer risk of COVID-19 severity. The observed effect of rs35705950 could either be due to protective effects of mucin over-production on the airways or a consequence of selection bias due to (1) a patient group that is heavily enriched for the rs35705950 T undertaking strict self-isolation and/or (2) due to survival bias of the rs35705950 non-IPF risk allele carriers. Due to the diverse impact of IPF causal variants on SARS-CoV-2 infection, with a possible selection bias as an explanation, further investigation is needed to address this apparent paradox between variance at MUC5B and other IPF genetic risk factors.

fundingNovo Nordisk Foundation and Oak Foundation.

Indexed as

COVID-19Genetic Predisposition to DiseaseGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansIdiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisLungMucin-5BPolymorphism, Single NucleotideRiskSARS-CoV-2Severity of Illness IndexMUC5B protein, humanMucin-5BCovid-19Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosisMendelian randomizationMUC5BMucin

Identifiers

PMID33714028
PMCPMC7946355
OpenAlexW3133626496

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.