Evidence mapPaperPMID 33913097Full record

ArticleJournal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology2022

Prediction of 2-year major adverse cardiac events from myocardial perfusion scintigraphy and clinical risk factors.

William D Leslie, Mark Bryanton, Andrew Goertzen, Piotr Slomka

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. External validation and update of the J-ACCESS model in an Italian cohort of patients undergoing stress myocardial perfusion imaging.Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2023
    Article
  3. External validation of the CRAX2MACE model.Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2023
    Article
  4. Adding value to myocardial perfusion scintigraphy: A prediction tool to predict adverse cardiac outcomes and risk stratify.Journal of nuclear cardiology : official publication of the American Society of Nuclear Cardiology · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.

William D LeslieDepartment of Radiology, University of Manitoba, C5121-409 Tache Ave, Winnipeg, MB, R2H 2A6, Canada. bleslie@sbgh.mb.ca.
Mark BryantonDepartment of Radiology, University of Manitoba, C5121-409 Tache Ave, Winnipeg, MB, R2H 2A6, Canada.
Andrew GoertzenDepartment of Radiology, University of Manitoba, C5121-409 Tache Ave, Winnipeg, MB, R2H 2A6, Canada.
Piotr SlomkaCedars-Sinai Medical Center, Los Angeles, CA, USA.
University of Manitoba · CACedars-Sinai Medical Center · US

Funding

Quantitative Prediction of Disease and Outcomes from Next Generation SPECT and CTR01HL089765 · NHLBI · CEDARS-SINAI MEDICAL CENTER · PI SLOMKA, PIOTR J · 2007 to 2021
$6.1M
NHLBI NIH HHS R01 HL089765
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe developed CRAX2MACE, a new tool derived from clinical and SPECT myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) variables, to predict 2-year probability of major adverse cardiac event (MACE) comprising death, hospitalized acute myocardial infarction or coronary revascularization.

methodsConsecutive individuals with SPECT MPI 2001-2008 had two-year MACE determined from population-based health services data. CRAX2MACE included age, sex, diabetes, recent cardiac hospitalization, pharmacologic stress, stress total perfusion deficit (TPD), ischemic (stress-rest) TPD, left ventricular ejection fraction and transient ischemic dilation ratio. Two-year event rates were classified as low (< 5%), moderate (5.0-9.9%), high (10-19.9%) and very high (20% or greater).

resultsThe study population comprised 3896 individuals for the development and 1946 for the validation subgroups with subsequent MACE in 589 (15.1%) and 272 (14.0%), respectively. CRAX2MACE, derived from the development subgroups, accurately stratified MACE risk in the validation subgroup (area under the receiver operating characteristics curve 0.79) with stepwise increase in the observed event rate with increasing predicted risk category (low, 2.3%; moderate, 5.5%; high, 18.8%; very high 33.2%; P-trend < 0.001).

conclusionsA simple tool based upon clinical risk factors and MPI variables predicts 2-year cardiac events. Risk stratification between the low and very high groups was greater than tenfold.

Indexed as

Coronary Artery DiseaseMyocardial Perfusion ImagingHumansPrognosisRisk FactorsStroke VolumeTomography, Emission-Computed, Single-PhotonVentricular Function, Leftclinical prediction rulecoronary artery diseasegated SPECTMyocardial perfusion imaging

Identifiers

PMID33913097
PMCPMC8551291
OpenAlexW3158620830

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.