Evidence map›Paper›PMID 33937076›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in oncology2021

A Novel Prognostic Model and Practical Nomogram for Predicting the Outcomes of Colorectal Cancer: Based on Tumor Biomarkers and Log Odds of Positive Lymph Node Scheme.

Jun Zhu, Jun Hao, Qian Ma, Tingyu Shi, Shuai Wang, Jingchuan Yan, Rujie Chen, Dong Xu, Yu Jiang, Jian Zhang and 1 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in oncology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.9field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  4. Regulation of Metastasis and Growth of Colorectal CancerRecent patents on anti-cancer drug discovery · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Jun ZhuState Key Laboratory of Cancer Biology, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Jun HaoDepartment of Experiment Surgery, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Qian MaSchool of Clinical Medicine, Xi'an Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Tingyu ShiHealth Company, Airborne Special Operations Brigade Support Battalion, Xiaogan, China.
Shuai WangState Key Laboratory of Cancer Biology, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Jingchuan YanDepartment of Basic Medicine, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Rujie ChenState Key Laboratory of Cancer Biology, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Dong XuDepartment of Experiment Surgery, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Yu JiangDepartment of Experiment Surgery, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Jian ZhangState Key Laboratory of Cancer Biology, Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Jipeng LiState Key Laboratory of Cancer Biology, Institute of Digestive Diseases, Xijing Hospital, The Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, China.
Air Force Medical University · CNXijing Hospital · CNXi'an Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundEmerging evidence shows that serum tumor biomarkers (TBs) and log odds of positive lymph node scheme (LODDS) are closely associated with the prognosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) patients. The aim of our study is to validate the predictive value of TBs and LODDS clinically and to develop a robust prognostic model to predict the overall survival (OS) of patients with CRC.

methodsCRC patients who underwent radical resection and with no preoperative chemotherapy were enrolled in the study. The eligible population were randomized into training (70%) and test (30%) cohorts for the comprehensive evaluation of the prognostic model. Clinical implications of serum biomarkers and LODDS were identified by univariate and multivariate Cox proportion regression analysis. The predictive ability and discriminative performance were evaluated by Kaplan-Meier (K-M) curves and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. Clinical applicability of the prognostic model was assessed by decision curve analysis (DCA), and the corresponding nomogram was constructed based on the above factors.

resultsA total of 1,202 eligible CRC patients were incorporated into our study. Multivariable COX analysis demonstrated that CA199 (HR = 1.304), CA125 (HR = 1.429), CEA (HR = 1.307), and LODDS (HR = 1.488) were independent risk factors for OS (all P < 0.0001). K-M curves showed that the high-risk group possessed a shorter OS than the low-risk counterparts. The area under curves (AUCs) of the model for 1-, 3- and 5-year OS were 86.04, 78.70, and 76.66% respectively for the train cohort (80.35, 77.59, and 74.26% for test cohort). Logistic DCA and survival DCA confirmed that the prognostic model displayed more clinical benefits than the conventional AJCC 8

conclusionsPreoperative serum TBs and LODDS have significant clinical implications for CRC patients. A novel prognostic model incorporating common TBs (CA199, CA125, and CEA) and LODDS displayed better predictive performance than both single factor and the TNM classification. A novel nomogram incorporating TBs and LODDS could individually predict OS in patients with CRC.

Indexed as

CA125CA199CEAcolorectal cancerlog odds of positive lymph node schemenomogramprognostic model

Identifiers

PMID33937076
PMCPMC8085421
OpenAlexW3152915158

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.