Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34106515›Full record

ArticleClinical obesity2021

A clinical model to predict fibrosis on liver biopsy in paediatric subjects with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

Sakil Kulkarni, Nadia Naz, Hongjie Gu, Janis M Stoll, Michael D Thompson, Brian J DeBosch

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Clinical obesity, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.8field-weighted citation impact, top 29% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 5 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Sakil KulkarniDepartment of Pediatrics, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7807-9180
Nadia NazDepartment of Pediatrics, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Hongjie GuDepartment of Biostatistics, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Janis M StollDepartment of Pediatrics, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Michael D ThompsonDepartment of Pediatrics, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Brian J DeBoschDepartment of Pediatrics, Washington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, Missouri, USA.
Washington University in St. Louis · US

Funding

Child Health Research CenterK12HD076224 · NICHD · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI MARK E. LOWE · 2013 to 2026
$6.2M
Impact of Maternal Obesity on Offspring Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease: Role of Bile Acid Homeostasis and MicrobiomeK08DK122018 · NIDDK · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI THOMPSON, MICHAEL D · 2019 to 2022
$700k
Biological Effects and Mechanistic Actions of the Natural Disaccharide and Dietary Supplement, Trehalose.R21AT010520 · NCCIH · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI DEBOSCH, BRIAN JESSE · 2019 to 2020
$432k
Leveraging glucose transport and the adaptive fasting response to modulate hepatic metabolismR56DK115764 · NIDDK · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI DEBOSCH, BRIAN JESSE · 2018 to 2018
$381k
American Gastroenterological Foundation NIH K08 DK 122018 01Doris Duke Charitable FoundationNCCIH NIH HHS R21 AT010520NICHD NIH HHS K12 HD076224NIDDK NIH HHS K08 DK122018NIDDK NIH HHS R56 DK115764
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The incidence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in children is rapidly increasing. Liver fibrosis is a poor prognostic feature that independently predicts cirrhosis. The time that intercedes the first medical encounter and biopsy is rate-limiting to multi-modal treatment. This study aimed to identify non-invasive parameters to predict advanced NAFLD and fibrosis. We conducted a single-center, retrospective 10-year analysis of 640 paediatric patients who underwent liver biopsy. 55 patients, age 3-21 years, had biopsy-confirmed NAFLD. We assessed primary outcomes, NAFLD activity score (NAS) and fibrosis scores, against non-invasive parameters by linear regression, by using binary cutoff values, and by a multivariate logistic regression fibrosis prediction model. NAS correlated with platelets and female sex. Fibrosis scores correlated with platelet counts, gamma glutamyl transferase (GGT), and ultrasound shear wave velocity. 25-hydroxy-vitamin D and GGT differentiated mild versus moderate-to-advanced fibrosis. Our multivariate logistical regression model-based scoring system predicted F2 or higher (parameters: BMI%, vitamin D, platelets, GGT), with sensitivity and specificity of 0.83 and 0.95 (area under the ROC curve, 0.944). We identify a clinical model to identify high-risk patients for expedited biopsy. Stratifying patients to abbreviate time-to-biopsy can attenuate delays in aggressive therapy for high-risk patients.

Indexed as

Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver DiseaseAdolescentBiopsyChildChild, PreschoolFemaleFibrosisHumansRetrospective StudiesYoung Adultfibrosishepatitisliverobesitypredictive-modelsteatosis

Identifiers

PMID34106515
PMCPMC8928096
OpenAlexW3167994084

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.