ArticleResults in physics2021
Socio-demographic and health factors drive the epidemic progression and should guide vaccination strategies for best COVID-19 containment.
Article in Results in physics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 32 papers.
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Who cites it
32 citing papers in PubMed.
- COVID-19 risk stratification among older adults: a machine learning approach to identify personal and health-related risk factors.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Influence of waning immunity on vaccination decision-making: A multi-strain epidemic model with an evolutionary approach analyzing cost and efficacy.Infectious Disease Modelling · 2024Article
- Article
- Association of socio-demographic factors with clinical outcome among hospitalized patients in first and second waves of COVID-19 pandemic: Study from the developing world.Journal of family medicine and primary care · 2024Article
- Vaccination strategies impact the probability of outbreak extinction: A case study of COVID-19 transmission.Heliyon · 2024Article
- Text analysis of Macao's COVID-19 prevention and control policies: discussion on strategy evolution and public health capabilities.Journal of thoracic disease · 2024Article
- Evaluating vaccine allocation strategies using simulation-assisted causal modeling.Patterns (New York, N.Y.) · 2023Article
- A novel mathematical model for prioritization of individuals to receive vaccine considering governmental health protocols.The European journal of health economics : HEPAC : health economics in prevention and care · 2023Article
- Article
- Effect of vaccination patterns and vaccination rates on the spread and mortality of the COVID-19 pandemic.Health policy and technology · 2023Article
- Article
- Estimation of Total Cost Required in Controlling COVID-19 Outbreaks by Financial Incentives.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2023Article
- Retrospective Modeling of the Omicron Epidemic in Shanghai, China: Exploring the Timing and Performance of Control Measures.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2023Article
- Predictions from standard epidemiological models of consequences of segregating and isolating vulnerable people into care facilities.PloS one · 2023Article
- Three-layer model for the control of epidemic infection over multiple social networks.SN applied sciences · 2023Article
- Article
- Multi-layer network approach in modeling epidemics in an urban town.The European physical journal. B · 2023Article
- Occupations and their impact on the spreading of COVID-19 in urban communities.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Article
- Epidemic dynamics on higher-dimensional small world networks.Applied mathematics and computation · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
5 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
We propose and study an epidemiological model on a social network that takes into account heterogeneity of the population and different vaccination strategies. In particular, we study how the COVID-19 epidemics evolves and how it is contained by different vaccination scenarios by taking into account data showing that older people, as well as individuals with comorbidities and poor metabolic health, and people coming from economically depressed areas with lower quality of life in general, are more likely to develop severe COVID-19 symptoms, and quicker loss of immunity and are therefore more prone to reinfection. Our results reveal that the structure and the spatial arrangement of subpopulations are important epidemiological determinants. In a healthier society the disease spreads more rapidly but the consequences are less disastrous as in a society with more prevalent chronic comorbidities. If individuals with poor health are segregated within one community, the epidemic outcome is less favorable. Moreover, we show that, contrary to currently widely adopted vaccination policies, prioritizing elderly and other higher-risk groups is beneficial only if the supply of vaccine is high. If, however, the vaccination availability is limited, and if the demographic distribution across the social network is homogeneous, better epidemic outcomes are achieved if healthy people are vaccinated first. Only when higher-risk groups are segregated, like in elderly homes, their prioritization will lead to lower COVID-19 related deaths. Accordingly, young and healthy individuals should view vaccine uptake as not only protecting them, but perhaps even more so protecting the more vulnerable socio-demographic groups.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.