Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34226943›Full record

ArticleDiabetologia2021

Polygenic risk scores predict diabetes complications and their response to intensive blood pressure and glucose control.

Johanne Tremblay, Mounsif Haloui, Redha Attaoua, Ramzan Tahir, Camil Hishmih, François Harvey, François-Christophe Marois-Blanchet, Carole Long, Paul Simon, Lara Santucci and 23 more

Erratum issued Registry-linked trialOpen access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Diabetologia, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. It is linked to trial NCT06586203 (New GENOmic Predictor for COmplications Risk in Type 2 DIAbetes), which is not on this map. Cited by 30 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
30citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
6.4field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT06586203 narecruitingnot on this mapstarted 2024, after this paper: background citation

New GENOmic Predictor for COmplications Risk in Type 2 DIAbetes

TypeinterventionalSponsorOptitheraRan2024 to 2028Enrolled2,714ConditionsDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2, Cardiovascular Diseases, Diabetic Nephropathy Type 2ArmsPolygenic Risk Score
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

30 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 51 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  10. Integrating Polygenic Risk Scores (PRS) for Personalized Diabetes Care: Advancing Clinical Practice with Tailored Pharmacological Approaches.Diabetes therapy : research, treatment and education of diabetes and related disorders · 2025
    Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

33 authors at 17 institutions in 8 countries.

Johanne TremblayDepartment of Medicine, University of Montréal, CRCHUM, Québec, Canada. johanne.tremblay@umontreal.ca.ORCID 0000-0003-3716-372X
Mounsif HalouiDepartment of Medicine, University of Montréal, CRCHUM, Québec, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-8743-6445
Redha AttaouaDepartment of Medicine, University of Montréal, CRCHUM, Québec, Canada.
Ramzan TahirDepartment of Medicine, University of Montréal, CRCHUM, Québec, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-3962-6444
Camil HishmihDepartment of Medicine, University of Montréal, CRCHUM, Québec, Canada.
François HarveyDepartment of Medicine, University of Montréal, CRCHUM, Québec, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-8553-3794
François-Christophe Marois-BlanchetDepartment of Medicine, University of Montréal, CRCHUM, Québec, Canada.
Carole LongDepartment of Medicine, University of Montréal, CRCHUM, Québec, Canada.
Paul SimonDepartment of Medicine, University of Montréal, CRCHUM, Québec, Canada.
Lara SantucciDepartment of Medicine, University of Montréal, CRCHUM, Québec, Canada.
Candan HizelDepartment of Medicine, University of Montréal, CRCHUM, Québec, Canada.
John ChalmersThe George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-9931-0580
Michel MarreClinique Ambroise Paré, Neuilly-sur-Seine, and Centre de Recherches des Cordeliers, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0002-3071-1837
Stephen HarrapDepartment of Physiology, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-2907-6714
Renata CífkováCenter for Cardiovascular Prevention, First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University in Prague and Thomayer Hospital, Prague, Czech Republic.ORCID 0000-0003-2765-3821
Alena KrajčoviechováCenter for Cardiovascular Prevention, First Faculty of Medicine, Charles University in Prague and Thomayer Hospital, Prague, Czech Republic.ORCID 0000-0002-4436-5023
David R MatthewsOxford Centre for Diabetes, Endocrinology and Metabolism, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-6504-0036
Bryan WilliamsUniversity College London, Institute of Cardiovascular Science, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8094-1841
Neil PoulterSchool of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College London, London, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6292-997X
Sophia ZoungasSchool of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, VIC, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-2672-0949
Stephen ColagiuriBoden Institute, University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-2398-4781
Giuseppe ManciaIstituto Auxologico Italiano, University of Milano, Bicocca, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-0942-3176
Diederick E GrobbeeJulius Centre for Health Sciences and Primary Care, University Medical Centre Utrecht, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-4472-4468
Anthony RodgersThe George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia.ORCID 0000-0003-1282-1896
Liusheng LiuBeijing Hypertension League Institute, Beijing, China.
Mawussé AgbessiOntario Institute for Cancer Research, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Vanessa BruatOntario Institute for Cancer Research, Toronto, ON, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-8058-8999
Marie-Julie FavéOntario Institute for Cancer Research, Toronto, ON, Canada.
Michelle P HarwoodOntario Institute for Cancer Research, Toronto, ON, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-4758-3373
Philip AwadallaOntario Institute for Cancer Research, Toronto, ON, Canada.ORCID 0000-0001-9946-6393
Mark WoodwardThe George Institute for Global Health, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia. markw@georgeinstitute.org.au.
Julie G HussinMontreal Heart Institute, Research Center, Montréal, Québec, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-4295-3339
Pavel HametDepartment of Medicine, University of Montréal, CRCHUM, Québec, Canada. pavel.hamet@umontreal.ca.ORCID 0000-0001-5716-889X
Université de Montréal · CAOntario Institute for Cancer Research · CACharles University · CZUNSW Sydney · AUClinique Ambroise Paré · FRImperial College London · GBIRCCS Istituto Auxologico Italiano · ITMonash University · AUMontreal Heart Institute · CAShanghai Institute of Hypertension · CNThe George Institute for Global Health · GBThe University of Melbourne · AUThe University of Sydney · AUUniversité du Québec · CAUniversity College London · GBUniversity Medical Center Utrecht · NLUniversity of Oxford · GB

Funding

British Heart Foundation CH/1996001/9454CIHRMedical Research Council MC_PC_17228Medical Research Council MC_QA137853
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aims/hypothesisType 2 diabetes increases the risk of cardiovascular and renal complications, but early risk prediction could lead to timely intervention and better outcomes. Genetic information can be used to enable early detection of risk.

methodsWe developed a multi-polygenic risk score (multiPRS) that combines ten weighted PRSs (10 wPRS) composed of 598 SNPs associated with main risk factors and outcomes of type 2 diabetes, derived from summary statistics data of genome-wide association studies. The 10 wPRS, first principal component of ethnicity, sex, age at onset and diabetes duration were included into one logistic regression model to predict micro- and macrovascular outcomes in 4098 participants in the ADVANCE study and 17,604 individuals with type 2 diabetes in the UK Biobank study.

resultsThe model showed a similar predictive performance for cardiovascular and renal complications in different cohorts. It identified the top 30% of ADVANCE participants with a mean of 3.1-fold increased risk of major micro- and macrovascular events (p = 6.3 × 10 CONCLUSIONS/

interpretationThis novel multiPRS model stratified individuals with type 2 diabetes according to risk of complications and helped to target earlier those who would receive greater benefit from intensive therapy.

Indexed as

Diabetes ComplicationsDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Multifactorial InheritanceBlood GlucoseBlood PressureGenome-Wide Association StudyHumansRisk FactorsBlood GlucoseADVANCE trialCardiovascular complicationsGeneticsPolygenic risk scorePredictionRenal complicationsUK Biobank

Identifiers

PMID34226943
PMCPMC8382653
OpenAlexW3182648508

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.