Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34327367›Full record

ArticleThe Lancet regional health. Western Pacific2021

Trends in kidney failure and kidney replacement therapy in people with diabetes in Hong Kong, 2002-2015: A retrospective cohort study.

Hongjiang Wu, Eric S H Lau, Aimin Yang, Cheuk-Chun Szeto, Ronald C W Ma, Alice P S Kong, Elaine Chow, Wing-Yee So, Juliana C N Chan, Andrea O Y Luk

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
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  10. Article
  11. Kidney Failure Trends in People with Diabetes: The Looming Epidemic.The Lancet regional health. Western Pacific · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Hongjiang WuDepartment of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China.
Eric S H LauDepartment of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China.
Aimin YangDepartment of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China.
Cheuk-Chun SzetoDepartment of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China.
Ronald C W MaDepartment of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China.
Alice P S KongDepartment of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China.
Elaine ChowDepartment of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China.
Wing-Yee SoDepartment of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China.
Juliana C N ChanDepartment of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China.
Andrea O Y LukDepartment of Medicine and Therapeutics, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, People's Republic of China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere are limited population-wide trend data on kidney failure and kidney replacement therapy (KRT) in people with diabetes. We conducted a retrospective cohort study to report incidence trends of kidney failure and KRT and related mortality in people with diabetes in Hong Kong between 2002 and 2015.

methodsWe used territory-wide electronic medical records including laboratory, diagnostic and procedural data to identify people with kidney failure and KRT. We used Joinpoint regression models to estimate the average annual percent change (AAPC) of kidney failure and KRT incidence for entire study period, and annual percent change (APC) for each linear trend segment, along with 1-year and 5-year mortality rates.

findingsDuring 4.9 million person-years of follow-up of 712,222 people with diabetes, 31,425 developed kidney failure, among whom 23.0% (n=7,233) received KRT. The incidence of kidney failure declined by 46.8% from 2002 to 2007 (APC: -11.6, 95% CI: -16.3, -6.7), then flattened from 2007 to 2015 (APC: -0.9, 95% CI: -3.1, 1.3). The incidence of KRT remained constant (AAPC: -1.6, 95% CI: -4.4, 1.2). The 1-year mortality rates declined statistically significantly after both kidney failure and KRT. The 5-year mortality rates declined after kidney failure but the decline was not statistically significant after KRT.

interpretationThe findings of our study highlight the importance of developing new strategies to prevent a looming epidemic of kidney failure in people with diabetes in Hong Kong.

fundingAsia Diabetes Foundation.

Indexed as

AAPC, Average annual percent changeAPC, Annual percent changediabetesEMR, Electronic medical recordHA, Hospital AuthorityHD, HemodialysisHKDSD, Hong Kong Diabetes Surveillance Databaseincidencekidney failurekidney replacement therapyKRT, Kidney replacement therapymortalityPD, Peritoneal dialysisRAAS, Renin-angiotensin-aldosterone systemRAMP-DM, Risk Assessment and Management Programme-Diabetes Mellitustrend

Identifiers

PMID34327367
PMCPMC8315404

What Socratic holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.