Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34328435›Full record

ArticleJMIR medical informatics2021

Predicting Biologic Therapy Outcome of Patients With Spondyloarthritis: Joint Models for Longitudinal and Survival Analysis.

Carolina Barata, Ana Maria Rodrigues, Helena Canhão, Susana Vinga, Alexandra M Carvalho

Abstract read
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Article in JMIR medical informatics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Carolina BarataInstituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0187-8635
Ana Maria RodriguesComprehensive Health Research Center, NOVA Medical School, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2046-8017
Helena CanhãoComprehensive Health Research Center, NOVA Medical School, NOVA University of Lisbon, Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1894-4870
Susana VingaInstituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1954-5487
Alexandra M CarvalhoInstituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa, Lisbon, Portugal.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6607-7711

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRheumatic diseases are one of the most common chronic diseases worldwide. Among them, spondyloarthritis (SpA) is a group of highly debilitating diseases, with an early onset age, which significantly impacts patients' quality of life, health care systems, and society in general. Recent treatment options consist of using biologic therapies, and establishing the most beneficial option according to the patients' characteristics is a challenge that needs to be overcome. Meanwhile, the emerging availability of electronic medical records has made necessary the development of methods that can extract insightful information while handling all the challenges of dealing with complex, real-world data.

objectiveThe aim of this study was to achieve a better understanding of SpA patients' therapy responses and identify the predictors that affect them, thereby enabling the prognosis of therapy success or failure.

methodsA data mining approach based on joint models for the survival analysis of the biologic therapy failure is proposed, which considers the information of both baseline and time-varying variables extracted from the electronic medical records of SpA patients from the database, Reuma.pt.

resultsOur results show that being a male, starting biologic therapy at an older age, having a larger time interval between disease start and initiation of the first biologic drug, and being human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-B27 positive are indicators of a good prognosis for the biological drug survival; meanwhile, having disease onset or biologic therapy initiation occur in more recent years, a larger number of education years, and higher values of C-reactive protein or Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Functional Index (BASFI) at baseline are all predictors of a greater risk of failure of the first biologic therapy.

conclusionsAmong this Portuguese subpopulation of SpA patients, those who were male, HLA-B27 positive, and with a later biologic therapy starting date or a larger time interval between disease start and initiation of the first biologic therapy showed longer therapy adherence. Joint models proved to be a valuable tool for the analysis of electronic medical records in the field of rheumatic diseases and may allow for the identification of potential predictors of biologic therapy failure.

Indexed as

data miningdrug survivalelectronic medical recordsjoint modelsmedical recordsrheumatic diseasespondyloarthritissurvival analysis

Identifiers

PMID34328435
PMCPMC8367135

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.