Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34501335›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical medicine2021

A Machine Learning Predictive Model for Post-Ureteroscopy Urosepsis Needing Intensive Care Unit Admission: A Case-Control YAU Endourology Study from Nine European Centres.

Amelia Pietropaolo, Robert M Geraghty, Rajan Veeratterapillay, Alistair Rogers, Panagiotis Kallidonis, Luca Villa, Luca Boeri, Emanuele Montanari, Gokhan Atis, Esteban Emiliani and 6 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 36 papers, 7 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
36citing papers in PubMed, 7 pooled it
5.9field-weighted citation impact, top 3% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

36 citing papers in PubMed, 7 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 63 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors at 9 institutions in 5 countries.

Amelia PietropaoloDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Southampton, Southampton SO16 6YD, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-7631-3108
Robert M GeraghtyDepartment of Urology, Freeman Hospital, Freeman Road, Newcastle-upon-Tyne NE1 7DN, UK.
Rajan VeeratterapillayDepartment of Urology, Freeman Hospital, Freeman Road, Newcastle-upon-Tyne NE1 7DN, UK.
Alistair RogersDepartment of Urology, Freeman Hospital, Freeman Road, Newcastle-upon-Tyne NE1 7DN, UK.
Panagiotis KallidonisDepartment of Urology, University of Patras, 26504 Patras, Greece.
Luca VillaIRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele, Urology, 20019 Milan, Italy.
Luca BoeriDepartment of Urology, IRCCS Fondazione Ca' Granda-Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, University of Milan, 20019 Milan, Italy.
Emanuele MontanariDepartment of Urology, IRCCS Fondazione Ca' Granda-Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico, University of Milan, 20019 Milan, Italy.
Gokhan AtisDepartment of Urology, Faculty of Medicine, Istanbul Medeniyet University, Istanbul 34720, Turkey.
Esteban EmilianiDepartment of Urology, Fundació Puigvert, 08001 Barcelona, Spain.
Tarik Emre SenerDepartment of Urology, Marmara University, Istanbul 34720, Turkey.ORCID 0000-0003-0085-7680
Feras Al JaafariVictoria Hospital, Kirkcaldy KY1 2ND, UK.
John FitzpatrickDepartment of Urology, Freeman Hospital, Freeman Road, Newcastle-upon-Tyne NE1 7DN, UK.
Matthew ShawDepartment of Urology, Freeman Hospital, Freeman Road, Newcastle-upon-Tyne NE1 7DN, UK.
Chris HardingDepartment of Urology, Freeman Hospital, Freeman Road, Newcastle-upon-Tyne NE1 7DN, UK.
Bhaskar K SomaniDepartment of Urology, University Hospital Southampton, Southampton SO16 6YD, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-6248-6478
Freeman Hospital · GBUniversity Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity of Milan · ITIRCCS Ospedale San Raffaele · ITIstanbul Medeniyet University · TRMarmara University · TRPuigvert Foundation · ESUniversity of Patras · GRVictoria Hospital · GB

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionWith the rise in the use of ureteroscopy and laser stone lithotripsy (URSL), a proportionate increase in the risk of post-procedural urosepsis has also been observed. The aims of our paper were to analyse the predictors for severe urosepsis using a machine learning model (ML) in patients that needed intensive care unit (ICU) admission and to make comparisons with a matched cohort.

methodsA retrospective study was conducted across nine high-volume endourology European centres for all patients who underwent URSL and subsequently needed ICU admission for urosepsis (Group A). This was matched by patients with URSL without urosepsis (Group B). Statistical analysis was performed with 'R statistical software' using the 'randomforests' package. The data were segregated at random into a 70% training set and a 30% test set using the 'sample' command. A random forests ML model was then built with

resultsA total of 114 patients were included (57 in each group) with a mean age of 60 ± 16 years and a male:female ratio of 1:1.19. The ML model correctly predicted risk of sepsis in 14/17 (82%) cases (Group A) and predicted those without urosepsis for 12/15 (80%) controls (Group B), whilst overall it also discriminated between the two groups predicting both those with and without sepsis. Our model accuracy was 81.3% (95%, CI: 63.7-92.8%), sensitivity = 0.80, specificity = 0.82 and area under the curve = 0.89. Predictive values most commonly accounting for nodal points in the trees were a large proximal stone location, long stent time, large stone size and long operative time.

conclusionUrosepsis after endourological procedures remains one of the main reasons for ICU admission. Risk factors for urosepsis are reasonably accurately predicted by our innovative ML model. Focusing on these risk factors can allow one to create predictive strategies to minimise post-operative morbidity.

Indexed as

kidney calculikidney stoneslaser lithotripsynephrolithiasispredictor factorsureteroscopyurolithiasisurosepsis

Identifiers

PMID34501335
PMCPMC8432042
OpenAlexW3198541442

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.