Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34612593›Full record

ArticleCancer medicine2021

Prognostic factors and survival prediction in HER2-positive breast cancer with bone metastases: A retrospective cohort study.

Xiaoshuang Lyu, Bin Luo

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

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16citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Xiaoshuang LyuDepartment of General Surgery, Beijing Tsinghua Changgung Hospital, School of Clinical Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0001-8866-1628
Bin LuoDepartment of General Surgery, Beijing Tsinghua Changgung Hospital, School of Clinical Medicine, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China.ORCID 0000-0002-8721-4460

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBone is the most common metastatic site of breast cancer. The developmental pattern of bone metastasis differs in different molecular subtypes. The prognostic factors of HER2-positive breast cancer with bone metastases require further investigation. The goal of this retrospective study was to identify the clinical features and prognostic factors for HER2-positive patients with bone metastases.

methodsA total of 34,084 HER2-positive breast cancer cases and 1204 cases of bone metastases from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 2010 to 2015 were analyzed to identify clinical characteristics and prognostic factors. A nomogram was constructed based on the Cox proportional hazards regression model. The C-index, calibration curve, and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) were utilized for model validation.

resultsIn the HER2-positive breast cancer total population (34,084 cases), 6.2% developed metastatic diseases. Bone metastases accounted for 3.5% of the entire cohort and 56.7% of all metastatic cases. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses identified seven prognostic factors for predicting cancer-specific survival (CSS) for HER2-positive breast cancer patients with bone metastases, including age, brain metastases, liver metastases, lung metastases, PR status, surgery, and chemotherapy. The C-index of the nomogram was 0.74 vs. 0.78 (for 3-year CSS) and 0.77 vs. 0.81 (for 5-year CSS) in the model and validation cohorts, respectively. The AUCs were 0.74 vs. 0.78 (for 3-year CSS) and 0.77 vs. 0.81 (for 5-year CSS) in the model and validation cohorts, respectively. The calibration curves indicated favorable agreement between the actual observations and the predictions.

conclusionOur study provided population-based clinical features and prognostic factors for HER2-positive breast cancer patients with bone metastases and we constructed a prognostic nomogram with reliable accuracy.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedBone NeoplasmsBreast NeoplasmsCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMiddle AgedNomogramsPrognosisRetrospective StudiesSurvival AnalysisYoung Adultbone metastasisbreast cancerHER2nomogramprognosisSEER

Identifiers

PMID34612593
PMCPMC8607243

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.