Increasing metabolic variability increases the risk for vitrectomy in proliferative diabetic retinopathy.

purposeProliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) can be treated by retinal photocoagulation, but in some cases, the treatment is initiated too late or is insufficient so that the disease advances to a stage requiring vitrectomy. There is a need to identify risk factors that can predict if patients with PDR will develop complications in need for vitrectomy.

methodsSurvival analysis with death as competing risk was used to study systemic risk factors for PDR progression to a complication in need for vitrectomy in right eyes of all 1288 diabetic patients from the Aarhus area, Denmark, who had developed proliferative retinopathy in the right eye during the 25 years period from 1 July 1994 until 1 July 2019.

resultsThe overall cumulative incidence of reaching a vitrectomy end point in the right eye was 24.1% (n = 311). In 9.3% (n = 120) of the patients where vitrectomy had been performed together with the first photocoagulation, the age of onset of diabetes was significantly higher (p < 0.0001), the diabetes duration longer (p < 0.035) and BMI higher (p < 0.01) than in the patients who had been vitrectomized later than the first photocoagulation. The risk for vitrectomy was significantly increased by high variability of HbA1c before the development of PDR (p < 0.0001), but not by other parameters known to increase the risk for developing PDR.

conclusionIncreasing variability of HbA1c before the development of PDR increases the risk for progression to a complication in need of vitrectomy. The need for vitrectomy is unaffected by other risk factors known to increase the risk for developing PDR.