Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34803086›Full record

ArticleJournal of atherosclerosis and thrombosis2022

Weight Change Since Age 20 and the Risk of Cardiovascular Disease Mortality: A Prospective Cohort Study.

Ahmed Arafa, Yoshihiro Kokubo, Haytham A Sheerah, Yukie Sakai, Emi Watanabe, Jiaqi Li, Kyoko Honda-Kohmo, Masayuki Teramoto, Rena Kashima, Masatoshi Koga

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of atherosclerosis and thrombosis, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Blood pressure per the 2017 ACC/AHA and 2018 ESC/ESH guidelines and heart failure risk: the Suita Study.Hypertension research : official journal of the Japanese Society of Hypertension · 2023
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Review
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Ahmed ArafaDepartment of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan.
Yoshihiro KokuboDepartment of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan.
Haytham A SheerahDepartment of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan.
Yukie SakaiDepartment of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan.
Emi WatanabeDepartment of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan.
Jiaqi LiDepartment of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan.
Kyoko Honda-KohmoDivision of Preventive Healthcare, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan.
Masayuki TeramotoDepartment of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan.
Rena KashimaDepartment of Preventive Cardiology, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan.
Masatoshi KogaDivision of Cerebrovascular Medicine, National Cerebral and Cardiovascular Center, Suita, Japan.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

aimWeight change could have many health outcomes. This study aimed to investigate the association between weight change and mortality risk due to total cardiovascular disease (CVD), ischemic heart disease (IHD), and stroke among Japanese.

methodsWe used Suita Study data from 4,746 people aged 30-79 years in this prospective cohort study. Weight change was defined as the difference between baseline weight and weight at age 20. We used Cox proportional hazards models to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of total CVD, IHD, and stroke mortality for 1) participants with a weight change (>10, 5 to 10, -5 to -10, and <-10 kg) compared to those with stable weight (-4.9 to 4.9 kg) and 2) participants who moved from one body mass index category (underweight, normal weight, or overweight) to another compared to those with normal weight at age 20 and baseline.

resultsWithin a median follow-up period of 19.9 years, the numbers of total CVD, IHD, and stroke mortality were 268, 132, and 79, respectively. Weight loss of >10 kg was associated with the increased risk of total CVD mortality 2.07 (1.29, 3.32) and stroke mortality 3.02 (1.40, 6.52). Moving from normal weight at age 20 to underweight at baseline was associated with the increased risk of total CVD, IHD, and stroke mortality: 1.76 (1.12, 2.77), 2.10 (1.13, 3.92), and 2.25 (1.05, 4.83), respectively.

conclusionWeight loss, especially when moving from normal to underweight, was associated with the increased risk of CVD mortality.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesMyocardial IschemiaStrokeAdultHumansProportional Hazards ModelsProspective StudiesRisk FactorsThinnessWeight LossYoung AdultCardiovascular diseasesJapanMortalityStrokeWeight gainWeight loss

Identifiers

PMID34803086
PMCPMC9529374

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-SA
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.