ArticleIndian journal of ophthalmology2021
Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on cataract surgical volume: A North Indian experience.
Article in Indian journal of ophthalmology, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.
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Who cites it
2 citing papers in PubMed.
- Trends in cataract surgery and healthcare system response during the COVID-19 lockdown in Malaysia: Lessons to be learned.Public health in practice (Oxford, England) · 2024Article
- Commentary: Improving the cataract surgery efficiency and clearing the cataract surgery backlog due to COVID-19 pandemic.Indian journal of ophthalmology · 2021Article
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7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
purposeTo analyze the impact of the pandemic on trends in cataract surgical volume in 2020 in a high-volume tertiary care academic center in North India.
methodsThe monthly cataract surgical volume for a large, high-volume, tertiary care academic center in North India was obtained from January 2018 through December 2020. Based on historical trends, we used time-series forecasting, probability sensitivity analysis, and linear regression models to estimate what the expected monthly cataract volume should have been from March 2020 onward.
resultsIn 2020, we expected to perform 7500 cases (assuming historical trends) but performed only 2500 cases (33% of the expected volume). The remaining 5000 cases (67% cases) constituted the "fixed" backlog. Assuming the ramp-up in cataract surgical volume starts in January 2021, results of the Monte Carlo simulation revealed that for our system, it would take on average 5 months (May 2021) under the optimistic scenario and 10 months (October 2021) under the ambivalent scenario to reach pre-pandemic expected surgical volume. There would be a collective backlog of 5500 cases under the optimistic scenario (8.8 months' worth of cases) and a collective backlog of 6900 cases under the ambivalent scenario (11 months' worth of cases).
conclusionAn intuitive approach and out-of-the-box solutions are required by the government and private institutes' collaborative efforts to help mitigate the disruptions caused by the pandemic and lessen the backlog without causing provider burnout.
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