Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34939083›Full record

ArticleBiostatistics (Oxford, England)2023

Two-Stage TMLE to reduce bias and improve efficiency in cluster randomized trials.

Laura B Balzer, Mark van der Laan, James Ayieko, Moses Kamya, Gabriel Chamie, Joshua Schwab, Diane V Havlir, Maya L Petersen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biostatistics (Oxford, England), 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
26citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

26 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Community-Wide Universal HIV Test and Treat Intervention Reduces Tuberculosis Transmission in Rural Uganda: A Cluster-Randomized Trial.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2024
    Trial
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  4. COADVISE: covariate adjustment with variable selection in randomized controlled trials.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2026
    Article
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  7. Model-robust standardization in stepped wedge cluster randomized trials.Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series A, (Statistics in Society) · 2026
    Article
  8. Article
  9. On the mixed-model analysis of covariance in cluster-randomized trials.Statistical science : a review journal of the Institute of Mathematical Statistics · 2026
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  18. Demystifying estimands in cluster-randomised trials.Statistical methods in medical research · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Laura B BalzerDepartment of Biostatistics & Epidemiology, University of Massachusetts Amherst, 715 North Pleasant St, Amherst, MA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3730-410X
Mark van der LaanDivision of Biostatistics, University of California Berkeley, 2121 Berkeley Way, Berkeley, CA, USA.
James AyiekoCenter for Microbiology Research, Kenya Medical Research Institute, P.O. BOX 54840 00200 Off Raila Odinga Way, Nairobi, Kenya.
Moses KamyaDepartment of Medicine, Makerere University and the Infectious Diseases Research Collaboration, P.O Box 7475, Kampala, Uganda.
Gabriel ChamieDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, 995 Potrero Ave, San Francisco, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-5860-8081
Joshua SchwabDivision of Biostatistics, University of California Berkeley, 2121 Berkeley Way, Berkeley, CA, USA.
Diane V HavlirDepartment of Medicine, University of California San Francisco, 995 Potrero Ave, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Maya L PetersenDivision of Biostatistics, University of California Berkeley, 2121 Berkeley Way, Berkeley, CA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4941-2041

Funding

Leadership and Operations Center (LOC), AIDS Clinical Trials Group (ACTG); LOC 1/UM1AI068636 · NIAID · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI Joseph J Eron, RAJESH T GANDHI · 2011 to 2026
$1073.1M
Reducing Failure-to-Initiate ART: Streamlined ART Start Strategy (START)U01AI099959 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI HAVLIR, DIANE V · 2012 to 2016
$39.7M
San Francisco Vaccine and Prevention UnitUM1AI069496 · NIAID · PUBLIC HEALTH FOUNDATION ENTERPRISES · PI Susan Buchbinder, Diane V Havlir · 2012 to 2026
$30.5M
A Multisectoral Strategy to Address Persistent Drivers of the HIV Epidemic in East AfricaU01AI150510 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI HAVLIR, DIANE V, KAMYA, MOSES ROBERT · 2020 to 2025
$23.4M
Targeted Learning using adaptive designs for HIV Epidemic control in East AfricaR01AI074345 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI PETERSEN, MAYA LIV, VANDERLAAN, MARK J · 2007 to 2023
$6.6M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI074345NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI099959NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI150510NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068636NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI069496
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Cluster randomized trials (CRTs) randomly assign an intervention to groups of individuals (e.g., clinics or communities) and measure outcomes on individuals in those groups. While offering many advantages, this experimental design introduces challenges that are only partially addressed by existing analytic approaches. First, outcomes are often missing for some individuals within clusters. Failing to appropriately adjust for differential outcome measurement can result in biased estimates and inference. Second, CRTs often randomize limited numbers of clusters, resulting in chance imbalances on baseline outcome predictors between arms. Failing to adaptively adjust for these imbalances and other predictive covariates can result in efficiency losses. To address these methodological gaps, we propose and evaluate a novel two-stage targeted minimum loss-based estimator to adjust for baseline covariates in a manner that optimizes precision, after controlling for baseline and postbaseline causes of missing outcomes. Finite sample simulations illustrate that our approach can nearly eliminate bias due to differential outcome measurement, while existing CRT estimators yield misleading results and inferences. Application to real data from the SEARCH community randomized trial demonstrates the gains in efficiency afforded through adaptive adjustment for baseline covariates, after controlling for missingness on individual-level outcomes.

Indexed as

Outcome Assessment, Health CareResearch DesignBiasCluster AnalysisComputer SimulationHumansProbabilityRandomized Controlled Trials as TopicClustered dataCluster randomized trialsCovariate adjustmentData-adaptiveDouble robustGroup randomized trialsMissing dataMulti-level modelsSuper LearnerTMLE

Identifiers

PMID34939083
PMCPMC10102904

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.