Evidence map›Paper›PMID 34993891›Full record

Observational studyInternational urology and nephrology2022

Revisiting risk prediction tools for death and end-stage renal disease in older patients with advanced chronic kidney disease: a prospective study.

Andra Nastasa, Hani Hussien, Mugurel Apetrii, Ionut Nistor, Mihai Onofriescu, Luminita Voroneanu, Simona Hogas, Adrian Covic

RetractedAbstract readObservational StudyRetracted Publication
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Observational study in International urology and nephrology, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It has been retracted, and should not be counted. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 37% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 4 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Review
  2. Observational
  3. Article
  4. Shared decision making in elderly patients with kidney failure.Nephrology, dialysis, transplantation : official publication of the European Dialysis and Transplant Association - European Renal Association · 2024
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Andra Nastasa"Grigore T. Popa" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, University Street No. 16, Iasi, Romania.
Hani Hussien"Grigore T. Popa" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, University Street No. 16, Iasi, Romania. hani.hussien86@yahoo.com.
Mugurel Apetrii"Grigore T. Popa" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, University Street No. 16, Iasi, Romania.
Ionut Nistor"Grigore T. Popa" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, University Street No. 16, Iasi, Romania.
Mihai Onofriescu"Grigore T. Popa" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, University Street No. 16, Iasi, Romania.
Luminita Voroneanu"Grigore T. Popa" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, University Street No. 16, Iasi, Romania.
Simona Hogas"Grigore T. Popa" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, University Street No. 16, Iasi, Romania.
Adrian Covic"Grigore T. Popa" University of Medicine and Pharmacy, University Street No. 16, Iasi, Romania.
Grigore T. Popa University of Medicine and Pharmacy · ROSpitalul Clinic Dr. C. I. Parhon · RO

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk assessment tools for predicting mortality and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in the elderly with CKD have received growing attention. However, integrating risk equations into a multidimensional approach of elderly with CKD stage 3b-4 is lacking.

methodsIn this prospective observational study, we enrolled CKD stage 3b-4 patients aged ≥ 65 years. Bansal score for predicting mortality risk and Kidney Failure Risk Equation (KFRE) for estimating progression to ESRD were applied. Predicted outcome was compared with actual clinical end-points. All patients underwent comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA), which is an interdisciplinary multidimensional process for geriatric evaluation and management.

resultsParticipants (N = 184) were divided into two groups, according to Bansal score: Group 1 (low-risk of death, Bansal score < 7, N = 69) and Group 2 (high-risk of death, Bansal score ≥ 7, N = 115). Group 2 displayed a substantially higher cardiovascular disease burden than Group 1 and was significantly more likely to be depressed and at risk of malnutrition, according to CGA. Thirty-seven patients died, and 16 started dialysis. Group 2 displayed significantly higher all-cause mortality. In the univariable Cox regression, Group 2 had a fourfold increase in the risk of all-cause mortality, as compared with Group 1 (HR = 4.29, 95% CI 1.88-10.26, P < 0.001). Multivariable stepwise Cox analysis showed that Bansal score above 7 remained significantly associated with all-cause mortality (HR = 3.96, 95% CI 1.68-9.29, P < 0.001). Group 2 also displayed higher event rates for dialysis initiation. In Group 1, only four patients started dialysis, and three out of them had a high-risk of progression at baseline, according to KFRE.

conclusionsUsing risk stratification tools and CGA in a population of elderly with advanced CKD, we found that two-thirds of the patients were at high risk of death, malnutrition and depression, with multimorbidity and four times worse probability of survival than those at lower risk of death.

Indexed as

Kidney Failure, ChronicMalnutritionRenal Insufficiency, ChronicAgedDisease ProgressionHumansProspective StudiesRisk FactorsChronic kidney diseaseElderlyMortalityPrediction

Identifiers

PMID34993891
OpenAlexW4205947500

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.