SynthesisDrugs2022

Association of Metformin with the Mortality and Incidence of Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Pre-existing Cardiovascular Diseases.

Tian Li, Rui Providencia, Wenhua Jiang, Manling Liu, Lu Yu, Chunhu Gu, Alex Chia Yu Chang, Heng Ma

Abstract readMeta-Analysis
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Drugs, 2022. The graph read 4 numbers from its abstract, feeding 2 cells of the map: it . Cited by 25 papers, 6 of them syntheses that pooled it.

4numbers the graph read from it
2cells of the map it votes in
25citing papers in PubMed, 6 pooled it
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
1 · no effect
Cardiovascular eventsfavours the treatment · head-to-head · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.900.87 to 0.94p < 0.0001
Compared with non-metformin control, metformin usage is associated with a reduction in all-cause mortality (HR: 0.90; 95% CI 0.83, 0.98; p = 0.01), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.89; 95% CI 0.85, 0.94; p < 0.0001), incidence of coronary revascularisation (HR: 0.79; 95% CI 0.64, 0.98; p = 0.03), and heart failure (HR: 0.90; 95% CI 0.87, 0.94; p < 0.0001) in patients with pre-existing cardiovascular diseases.
All-cause mortalityfavours the treatment · head-to-head · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.900.83 to 0.98p = 0.01
Compared with non-metformin control, metformin usage is associated with a reduction in all-cause mortality (HR: 0.90; 95% CI 0.83, 0.98; p = 0.01), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.89; 95% CI 0.85, 0.94; p < 0.0001), incidence of coronary revascularisation (HR: 0.79; 95% CI 0.64, 0.98; p = 0.03), and heart failure (HR: 0.90; 95% CI 0.87, 0.94; p < 0.0001) in patients with pre-existing cardiovascular diseases.
Cardiovascular eventsfavours the treatment · head-to-head · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.890.85 to 0.94p < 0.0001
Compared with non-metformin control, metformin usage is associated with a reduction in all-cause mortality (HR: 0.90; 95% CI 0.83, 0.98; p = 0.01), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.89; 95% CI 0.85, 0.94; p < 0.0001), incidence of coronary revascularisation (HR: 0.79; 95% CI 0.64, 0.98; p = 0.03), and heart failure (HR: 0.90; 95% CI 0.87, 0.94; p < 0.0001) in patients with pre-existing cardiovascular diseases.
Cardiovascular eventsfavours the treatment · head-to-head · ascvd, t2dfeeds one cell of the map
HR 0.790.64 to 0.98p = 0.03
Compared with non-metformin control, metformin usage is associated with a reduction in all-cause mortality (HR: 0.90; 95% CI 0.83, 0.98; p = 0.01), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.89; 95% CI 0.85, 0.94; p < 0.0001), incidence of coronary revascularisation (HR: 0.79; 95% CI 0.64, 0.98; p = 0.03), and heart failure (HR: 0.90; 95% CI 0.87, 0.94; p < 0.0001) in patients with pre-existing cardiovascular diseases.

clause the extractor read what became the number

2 · Its place on the map

Where it lands on the map

Rows are treatments, columns are outcomes. The coloured squares are the cells this paper feeds, coloured by the vote it casts there. Click one to jump to what this paper adds to it.

supports the treatmentfavours the comparatorno clear differenceread, but no usable result
3 · What it changes

What it adds to each cell

For every cell the paper feeds: the belief in the claim with and without this paper, and this paper's estimate drawn against every other readable study in the cell. The ringed dot is this paper.

Metformin×cardiovascular events

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

5 readable studies in this cell: 4 favour the treatment, 1 find no difference, 0 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.50contested · 4 families support, 2 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
1 · no effect

This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.

Metformin×all-cause mortality

No readable resultOpen on the map →What to test next →

1 readable study in this cell: 0 favour the treatment, 1 find no difference, 0 favour the comparator.

Belief with this paper
0.50one trial · 1 family supports, 0 contradict · against placebo
Without itNot a counted family in this claim, so removing it changes nothing.
← favours the treatmentfavours the comparator →
1 · no effect
NCT000387272,779 enrolled · 1996
HR 0.990.79 to 1.25

This paper's own estimate is on a different scale from the rest of the cell, so it is not drawn here.

4 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

5 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

25 citing papers in PubMed, 6 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Pooled it
  6. Pooled it
  7. Review
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Review
  11. Review
  12. Article
  13. Review
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Coordination chemistry suggests that independently observed benefits of metformin and ZnBiometals : an international journal on the role of metal ions in biology, biochemistry, and medicine · 2024
    Article
  19. Review
  20. Review
6 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

7 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Tian LiDepartment of Physiology and Pathophysiology, Fourth Military Medical University, No. 169 Changle West Rd, Xi'an, 710032, China.
Rui ProvidenciaBarts Heart Centre, St. Bartholomew's Hospital, London, UK.
Wenhua JiangDepartment of Physiology and Pathophysiology, Fourth Military Medical University, No. 169 Changle West Rd, Xi'an, 710032, China.
Manling LiuDepartment of Physiology and Pathophysiology, Fourth Military Medical University, No. 169 Changle West Rd, Xi'an, 710032, China.
Lu YuDepartment of Pathology, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, 710032, China.
Chunhu GuDepartment of Cardiovascular Surgery, Xijing Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, 710032, China.
Alex Chia Yu ChangDepartment of Cardiology and Shanghai Institute of Precision Medicine, Ninth People's Hospital, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 211125, China. alexchang@shsmu.edu.cn.
Heng MaDepartment of Physiology and Pathophysiology, Fourth Military Medical University, No. 169 Changle West Rd, Xi'an, 710032, China. hengma@fmmu.edu.cn.

Funding

major research and invention plan of shaanxi province, china 2018SF-101major research and invention plan of shaanxi province, china 2018SF-270national natural science foundation of china 31571413national natural science foundation of china 31671424national natural science foundation of china 91749108
8 · The paper itself

Abstract

The marked sentences are the ones the graph read a number from.

introductionWhether metformin reduces all-cause cardiovascular mortality and the incidence of cardiovascular events in patients with pre-existing cardiovascular diseases (CVD) remains inconclusive. Some randomised controlled trials (RCTs) and cohort studies have shown that metformin is associated with an increased risk of mortality and cardiovascular events.

methodsWe conducted a pooling synthesis to assess the effects of metformin in all-cause cardiovascular mortality and incidence of cardiovascular events in patients with CVD. Studies published up to October 2021 in PubMed or Embase with a registration in PROSPERO (CRD42020189905) were collected. Both RCT and cohort studies were included. Hazard ratios (HR) with 95% CI were pooled across various trials using the random-effects model.

resultsThis study enrolled 35 published studies (in 14 publications) for qualitative synthesis and identified 33 studies (published in 26 publications) for quantitative analysis. We analysed a total of 61,704 patients, among them 58,271 patients were used to calculate all-cause mortality while 12,814 patients were used to calculate cardiovascular mortality. Compared with non-metformin control, metformin usage is associated with a reduction in all-cause mortality (HR: 0.90; 95% CI 0.83, 0.98; p = 0.01), cardiovascular mortality (HR: 0.89; 95% CI 0.85, 0.94; p < 0.0001), incidence of coronary revascularisation (HR: 0.79; 95% CI 0.64, 0.98; p = 0.03), and heart failure (HR: 0.90; 95% CI 0.87, 0.94; p < 0.0001) in patients with pre-existing cardiovascular diseases.

conclusionMetformin use is associated with a reduction in all-cause mortality, cardiovascular mortality, incidence of coronary revascularisation, and heart failure in patients with CVD; however, metformin usage was not associated with reduction in the incidence of myocardial infarction, angina, or stroke.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Heart FailureMetforminMyocardial InfarctionHumansIncidenceMetformin

Identifiers

What Socratic holds

Texttitle and abstract
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.