Evidence mapPaperPMID 35110324Full record

Observational studyBMJ open2022

Development of a nomogram for the prediction of in-hospital mortality in patients with acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction after primary percutaneous coronary intervention: a multicentre, retrospective, observational study in Hebei province, China.

Yudan Wang, Wenjing Wang, Shengqi Jia, Man Gao, Shihang Zheng, Jiaqi Wang, Yi Dang, Yingxiao Li, Xiaoyong Qi

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter StudyObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in BMJ open, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.6field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 17 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
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  8. Review
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  10. Article
  11. Impact of the De Ritis Ratio on the Prognosis of Patients with Stable Coronary Artery Disease Undergoing Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.Medical science monitor : international medical journal of experimental and clinical research · 2022
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Yudan WangSchool of Graduate, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
Wenjing WangDepartment of Cardiology Center, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
Shengqi JiaSchool of Graduate, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
Man GaoSchool of Graduate, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
Shihang ZhengSchool of Graduate, Hebei North University, Zhangjiakou, Hebei, China.
Jiaqi WangSchool of Graduate, Hebei North University, Zhangjiakou, Hebei, China.
Yi DangDepartment of Cardiology Center, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
Yingxiao LiDepartment of Cardiology Center, Hebei General Hospital, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China.
Xiaoyong QiSchool of Graduate, Hebei Medical University, Shijiazhuang, Hebei, China hbghqxy@126.com.ORCID 0000-0002-2938-2562
Hebei Medical University · CNHebei General Hospital · CNHebei North University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo establish a clinical prognostic nomogram for predicting in-hospital mortality after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) among patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).

designRetrospective, multicentre, observational study.

settingThirty-nine hospitals in Hebei province.

participantsPatients with STEMI who underwent PCI from January 2018 to December 2019.

interventionsA multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify the factors associated with in-hospital mortality, and a nomogram was established using these factors. The performance of the nomogram was evaluated by the discrimination, calibration and clinical usefulness. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The outcome was the factors associated with in-hospital mortality.

resultsThis study included 855 patients, among whom 223 died in hospital. Age, body mass index, systolic pressure on admission, haemoglobin, random blood glucose on admission, ejection fraction after PCI, use aspirin before admission, long lesions, thrombolysis in myocardial infarction flow grade and neutrophils/lymphocytes ratio were independently associated with in-hospital mortality (all p<0.05). In the training set, the nomogram showed a C-index of 0.947, goodness-of-fit of 0.683 and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.947 (95% CI 0.927 to 0.967). In the testing set, the C-index was 0.891, goodness-of-fit was 0.462 and AUC was 0.891 (95% CI 0.844 to 0.939). The results indicate that the nomogram had good discrimination and good prediction accuracy and could achieve a good net benefit.

conclusionsA nomogram to predict in-hospital mortality in patients with STEMI after PCI was developed and validated in Hebei, China and showed a satisfactory performance. Prospective studies will be necessary to confirm the performance and clinical applicability and practicality of the nomogram.

Indexed as

Percutaneous Coronary InterventionST Elevation Myocardial InfarctionArrhythmias, CardiacHospital MortalityHumansNomogramsProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsTreatment Outcomecoronary heart diseasecoronary interventionmyocardial infarction

Identifiers

PMID35110324
PMCPMC8811571
OpenAlexW4210692425

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.