Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35116236›Full record

ArticleTranslational cancer research2021

The construction and validation of the model for predicting the incidence and prognosis of brain metastasis in lung cancer patients.

Chunjian Zuo, Guanchu Liu, Ye Bai, Jie Tian, Huanwen Chen

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Translational cancer research, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.2field-weighted citation impact, top 21% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 10 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Development and validation of nomograms to predict brain metastasis-free survival in lung and breast cancer.Cancer imaging : the official publication of the International Cancer Imaging Society · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Chunjian ZuoDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Guanchu LiuDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, The Affiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College, Nanchong, China.
Ye BaiDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health and Management, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Jie TianDepartment of Thoracic Surgery, The Third Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University (Gener Hospital), Chongqing, China.
Huanwen ChenDepartment of Cardiothoracic Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Chongqing Medical University · CNAffiliated Hospital of North Sichuan Medical College · CNChongqing Public Health Medical Center · CNFirst Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundBrain metastasis (BM) causes high morbidity and mortality rates in lung cancer (LC) patients. The present study aims to develop models for predicting the development and prognosis of BM using a large LC cohort.

methodsA total of 266,522 LC cases diagnosed between 2010 and 2016 were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program cohort. Risk factors for developing BM and prognosis were calculated by univariable and multivariable logistic and Cox regression analysis, respectively, and nomograms were constructed based on risk factors. Nomogram performance was evaluated with receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve, or C-index and calibration curve.

resultsThe prevalence of BM was 13.33%. Associated factors for developing BM include: advanced age; Asian or Pacific Islander race; uninsured status; primary tumor site; higher T stage; higher N stage; poorly differentiated grade; the presence of lung, liver, and bone metastases; and adenocarcinoma histology. Median overall survival (OS) was 4 months; associated prognosis factors were similar to risk factors plus female gender, unmarried status, and surgery. The calibration curve showed good agreement between predicted and actual probability, and the AUC/C-index was 73.1% (95% CI: 72.6-73.6%) and 0.88 (95% CI: 0.87-0.89) for risk and prognosis predictive models, respectively.

conclusionsBM was highly developed in LC patients, and homogeneous and heterogeneous factors were found between risk and prognosis for BM. The nomogram showed good performance in predicting BM development and prognosis.

Indexed as

brain metastases (BM)incidenceLung cancer (LC)prediction modelprognosis

Identifiers

PMID35116236
PMCPMC8799243
OpenAlexW3127644504

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.