Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35293149›Full record

ArticleJournal of diabetes investigation2022

Non-laboratory-based risk assessment model for case detection of diabetes mellitus and pre-diabetes in primary care.

Weinan Dong, Tsui Yee Emily Tse, Lynn Ivy Mak, Carlos King Ho Wong, Yuk Fai Eric Wan, Ho Man Eric Tang, Weng Yee Chin, Laura Elizabeth Bedford, Yee Tak Esther Yu, Wai Kit Welchie Ko and 3 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of diabetes investigation, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
2.5field-weighted citation impact, top 9% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 4 institutions in 2 countries.

Weinan DongDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Tsui Yee Emily TseDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7409-9507
Lynn Ivy MakDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Carlos King Ho WongDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6895-6071
Yuk Fai Eric WanDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Ho Man Eric TangDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4196-8686
Weng Yee ChinDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Laura Elizabeth BedfordDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Yee Tak Esther YuDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Wai Kit Welchie KoDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Healthcare, Hong Kong West Cluster, Hospital Authority, Hong Kong, China.
Vai Kiong David ChaoDepartment of Family Medicine & Primary Health Care, United Christian Hospital & Tseung Kwan O Hospital, Hospital Authority, Hong Kong, China.
Choon Beng Kathryn TanDepartment of Medicine, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9037-0416
Lo Kuen Cindy LamDepartment of Family Medicine and Primary Care, Li Ka Shing Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
University of Hong Kong · HKChinese University of Hong Kong · HKUniversity of Hong Kong - Shenzhen Hospital · CNHospital Authority · HK

Funding

Health and Medical Research Fund 17181641
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionMore than half of diabetes mellitus (DM) and pre-diabetes (pre-DM) cases remain undiagnosed, while existing risk assessment models are limited by focusing on diabetes mellitus only (omitting pre-DM) and often lack lifestyle factors such as sleep. This study aimed to develop a non-laboratory risk assessment model to detect undiagnosed diabetes mellitus and pre-diabetes mellitus in Chinese adults.

methodsBased on a population-representative dataset, 1,857 participants aged 18-84 years without self-reported diabetes mellitus, pre-diabetes mellitus, and other major chronic diseases were included. The outcome was defined as a newly detected diabetes mellitus or pre-diabetes by a blood test. The risk models were developed using logistic regression (LR) and interpretable machine learning (ML) methods. Models were validated using area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC-ROC), precision-recall curve (AUC-PR), and calibration plots. Two existing diabetes mellitus risk models were included for comparison.

resultsThe prevalence of newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus and pre-diabetes mellitus was 15.08%. In addition to known risk factors (age, BMI, WHR, SBP, waist circumference, and smoking status), we found that sleep duration, and vigorous recreational activity time were also significant risk factors of diabetes mellitus and pre-diabetes mellitus. Both LR (AUC-ROC = 0.812, AUC-PR = 0.448) and ML models (AUC-ROC = 0.822, AUC-PR = 0.496) performed well in the validation sample with the ML model showing better discrimination and calibration. The performance of the models was better than the two existing models.

conclusionsSleep duration and vigorous recreational activity time are modifiable risk factors of diabetes mellitus and pre-diabetes in Chinese adults. Non-laboratory-based risk assessment models that incorporate these lifestyle factors can enhance case detection of diabetes mellitus and pre-diabetes.

Indexed as

Diabetes Mellitus, Type 2Prediabetic StateAdultBody Mass IndexHumansPrimary Health CareRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsROC CurveCase detectionMachine learningRisk model

Identifiers

PMID35293149
PMCPMC9340884
OpenAlexW4220862488

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.