Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35309227›Full record

ArticleFrontiers in public health2022

Prediction of Atrial Fibrillation in Hospitalized Elderly Patients With Coronary Heart Disease and Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus Using Machine Learning: A Multicenter Retrospective Study.

Qian Xu, Yan Peng, Juntao Tan, Wenlong Zhao, Meijie Yang, Jie Tian

Open access · goldAbstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in Frontiers in public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 14 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
14citing papers in PubMed
3.1field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

14 citing papers in PubMed, 19 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Qian XuCollege of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Yan PengDepartment of Cardiology, University-Town Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Juntao TanOperation Management Office, Affiliated Banan Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Wenlong ZhaoCollege of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Meijie YangCollege of Medical Informatics, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Jie TianMedical Data Science Academy, Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, China.
Chongqing Medical University · CNChina International Science and Technology Cooperation · CN

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: The objective of this study was to use machine learning algorithms to construct predictive models for atrial fibrillation (AF) in elderly patients with coronary heart disease (CHD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Methods: The diagnosis and treatment data of elderly patients with CHD and T2DM, who were treated in four tertiary hospitals in Chongqing, China from 2015 to 2021, were collected. Five machine learning algorithms: logistic regression, logistic regression+least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, classified regression tree (CART), random forest (RF) and extreme gradient lifting (XGBoost) were used to construct the prediction models. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were used as the comparison measures between different models. Results: A total of 3,858 elderly patients with CHD and T2DM were included. In the internal validation cohort, XGBoost had the highest AUC (0.743) and sensitivity (0.833), and RF had the highest specificity (0.753) and accuracy (0.735). In the external verification, RF had the highest AUC (0.726) and sensitivity (0.686), and CART had the highest specificity (0.925) and accuracy (0.841). Total bilirubin, triglycerides and uric acid were the three most important predictors of AF. Conclusion: The risk prediction models of AF in elderly patients with CHD and T2DM based on machine learning algorithms had high diagnostic value. The prediction models constructed by RF and XGBoost were more effective. The results of this study can provide reference for the clinical prevention and treatment of AF.

Indexed as

Atrial FibrillationCoronary DiseaseDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2AgedHumansMachine LearningRetrospective Studiesatrial fibrillationcoronary heart diseasemachine learningprediction modelstype 2 diabetes mellitus

Identifiers

PMID35309227
PMCPMC8931193
OpenAlexW4214916312

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.