ArticleBMJ open diabetes research & care2022
Type 2 diabetes epidemic and key risk factors in Qatar: a mathematical modeling analysis.
Article in BMJ open diabetes research & care, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 26 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
26 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- The efficacy and safety of evogliptin for type 2 diabetes mellitus: A systematic review and meta-analysis.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2022Pooled it
- Article
- Factors associated with hypoglycemic or hyperglycemic events during Ramadan among persons with diabetes in Qatar.BMJ open diabetes research & care · 2026Article
- Improving the clinical diagnosis of familial hypercholesterolemia among patients attending diabetes and cardiology clinics.American journal of preventive cardiology · 2026Article
- Neurodevelopmental outcomes of children born to diabetic mothers in the Qatari population: a retrospective study.BMJ paediatrics open · 2026Article
- Serum Uric Acid as a Biomarker for Incident Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A 6-Year Cohort Study in Qatar.Metabolites · 2026Article
- Nutrition literacy for people with type 2 diabetes and its associations with demographic, behavioral and clinical characteristics.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Article
- Incidence and outcomes of diabetes mellitus amongst hospital admissions withFrontiers in clinical diabetes and healthcare · 2026Article
- Tackling type 2 diabetes in Qatar: integrating nutrition, physical activity, and policy reforms for national health advancement.Frontiers in public health · 2026Review
- Article
- Global Mortality and Disability-Adjusted Life Years Attributable to Tobacco Exposure Among Middle-Aged and Older Adults With Type 2 Diabetes, 1990-2021: A Systematic Analysis of GBD 2021 Data With Projections to 2042.Journal of diabetes research · 2026Article
- Quantifying population-level sexual risk behavior through HSV-2 transmission dynamics in the United States, 1950-2020.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Evaluating the Effectiveness of Insulin Plus Oral Medications Versus Oral Anti-Diabetes Therapy Alone in Patients With Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes With Very High hbA1c and Acute Coronary Syndrome.Endocrinology, diabetes & metabolism · 2025Observational
- Prevalence of non-communicable disease and the associated factors among healthcare workers in Qatar.BMC primary care · 2025Article
- Distinctive blood and salivary proteomics signatures in Qatari individuals at high risk for cardiovascular disease.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Complex networks interactions between bioactive compounds and adipose tissue vis-à-vis insulin resistance.Frontiers in endocrinology · 2025Article
- Prescribing trends of cardioprotective medications among patients with diabetes and ASCVD in primary care setting in Qatar.Journal of pharmaceutical policy and practice · 2025Article
- Development and validation of a Jordan-specific risk score for type 2 diabetes mellitus.BMJ nutrition, prevention & health · 2025Article
- Preoperative management of diabetes mellitus: A comparative narrative review of the recommendations of three professional organizations with Hamad Medical Corporation guidelines.Qatar medical journal · 2025Article
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15 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
introductionWe aimed to characterize and forecast type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) disease burden between 2021 and 2050 in Qatar where 89% of the population comprises expatriates from over 150 countries. RESEARCH DESIGN AND
methodsAn age-structured mathematical model was used to forecast T2DM burden and the impact of key risk factors (obesity, smoking, and physical inactivity). The model was parametrized using data from T2DM natural history studies, Qatar's 2012 STEPwise survey, the Global Health Observatory, and the International Diabetes Federation Diabetes Atlas, among other data sources.
resultsBetween 2021 and 2050, T2DM prevalence increased from 7.0% to 14.0%, the number of people living with T2DM increased from 170 057 to 596 862, and the annual number of new T2DM cases increased from 25 007 to 45 155 among those 20-79 years of age living in Qatar. Obesity prevalence increased from 8.2% to 12.5%, smoking declined from 28.3% to 26.9%, and physical inactivity increased from 23.1% to 26.8%. The proportion of incident T2DM cases attributed to obesity increased from 21.9% to 29.9%, while the contribution of smoking and physical inactivity decreased from 7.1% to 6.0% and from 7.3% to 7.2%, respectively. The results showed substantial variability across various nationality groups residing in Qatar-for example, in Qataris and Egyptians, the T2DM burden was mainly due to obesity, while in other nationality groups, it appeared to be multifactorial.
conclusionsT2DM prevalence and incidence in Qatar were forecasted to increase sharply by 2050, highlighting the rapidly growing need of healthcare resources to address the disease burden. T2DM epidemiology varied between nationality groups, stressing the need for prevention and treatment intervention strategies tailored to each nationality.
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