Evidence mapPaperPMID 35582963Full record

ArticleInternational journal of methods in psychiatric research2022

An empirical evaluation of alternative approaches to adjusting for attrition when analyzing longitudinal survey data on young adults' substance use trajectories.

Yajuan Si, Brady T West, Philip Veliz, Megan E Patrick, John E Schulenberg, Deborah D Kloska, Yvonne M Terry-McElrath, Sean E McCabe

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of methods in psychiatric research, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Trends and Sociodemographic Differences in Tobacco/Nicotine Transitions Among U.S. Adolescents and Young Adults Using e-cigarettes, 2014-2023.The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine · 2025
    Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Non-daily Cigarette Smoking: Stability and Transition to Abstinence in Young Adults.Nicotine & tobacco research : official journal of the Society for Research on Nicotine and Tobacco · 2023
    Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Yajuan SiSurvey Research Center, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-8707-7374
Brady T WestSurvey Research Center, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Philip VelizDepartment of Systems, Populations and Leadership, School of Nursing, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Megan E PatrickSurvey Research Center, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
John E SchulenbergSurvey Research Center, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Deborah D KloskaSurvey Research Center, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Yvonne M Terry-McElrathSurvey Research Center, Institute for Social Research, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.
Sean E McCabeCenter for the Study of Drugs, Alcohol, Smoking and Health, Department of Health Behavior and Biological Sciences, School of Nursing, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.

Funding

Monitoring the Future: Drug Use & Lifestyles of American Youth (Supp1: Nicotine Pouch and E-cigarette Use Among US Adolescents: National Estimates of Brand Use and Flavor Preferences)R01DA001411 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · 1985 to 2025
$43.8M
Monitoring the Future: A Cohort-Sequential Panel Study of Drug Use, Ages 19-65R01DA016575 · NIDA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · 2003 to 2025
$6.8M
Trajectories of Prescription Nonmedical Drug MisuseR01DA031160 · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · 2025 to 2025
$404k
NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA001411NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA016575NIDA NIH HHS R01 DA031160
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesLongitudinal survey data allow for the estimation of developmental trajectories of substance use from adolescence to young adulthood, but these estimates may be subject to attrition bias. Moreover, there is a lack of consensus regarding the most effective statistical methodology to adjust for sample selection and attrition bias when estimating these trajectories. Our objective is to develop specific recommendations regarding adjustment approaches for attrition in longitudinal surveys in practice.

methodsAnalyzing data from the national U.S. Monitoring the Future panel study following four cohorts of individuals from modal ages 18 to 29/30, we systematically compare alternative approaches to analyzing longitudinal data with a wide range of substance use outcomes, and examine the sensitivity of inferences regarding substance use prevalence and trajectories as a function of college attendance to the approach used.

resultsOur results show that analyzing all available observations in each wave, while simultaneously accounting for the correlations among repeated observations, sample selection, and attrition, is the most effective approach. The adjustment effects are pronounced in wave-specific descriptive estimates but generally modest in covariate-adjusted trajectory modeling.

conclusionsThe adjustments can refine the precision, and, to some extent, the implications of our findings regarding young adult substance use trajectories.

Indexed as

Substance-Related DisordersAdolescentAdultBiasHumansLongitudinal StudiesPrevalenceResearch DesignYoung Adultattritionlongitudinal trajectory modelingselection biassubstance useweighting

Identifiers

PMID35582963
PMCPMC9464329

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.