Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35610227›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2022

Using machine learning approaches to predict timely clinic attendance and the uptake of HIV/STI testing post clinic reminder messages.

Xianglong Xu, Christopher K Fairley, Eric P F Chow, David Lee, Ei T Aung, Lei Zhang, Jason J Ong

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. Review
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  9. Determinants and prediction ofFrontiers in public health · 2022
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Xianglong XuCentral Clinical School, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Christopher K FairleyCentral Clinical School, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Eric P F ChowCentral Clinical School, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
David LeeMelbourne Sexual Health Centre, The Alfred, Melbourne, 3053, Australia.
Ei T AungCentral Clinical School, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Lei Zhang *Central Clinical School, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia. Lei.zhang1@monash.edu.
Jason J Ong *Central Clinical School, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia. Jason.ong@monash.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Timely and regular testing for HIV and sexually transmitted infections (STI) is important for controlling HIV and STI (HIV/STI) among men who have sex with men (MSM). We established multiple machine learning models (e.g., logistic regression, lasso regression, ridge regression, elastic net regression, support vector machine, k-nearest neighbour, naïve bayes, random forest, gradient boosting machine, XGBoost, and multi-layer perceptron) to predict timely (i.e., within 30 days) clinic attendance and HIV/STI testing uptake after receiving a reminder message via short message service (SMS) or email). Our study used 3044 clinic consultations among MSM within 12 months after receiving an email or SMS reminder at the Melbourne Sexual Health Centre between April 11, 2019, and April 30, 2020. About 29.5% [899/3044] were timely clinic attendance post reminder messages, and 84.6% [761/899] had HIV/STI testing. The XGBoost model performed best in predicting timely clinic attendance [mean [SD] AUC 62.8% (3.2%); F1 score 70.8% (1.2%)]. The elastic net regression model performed best in predicting HIV/STI testing within 30 days [AUC 82.7% (6.3%); F1 score 85.3% (1.8%)]. The machine learning approach is helpful in predicting timely clinic attendance and HIV/STI re-testing. Our predictive models could be incorporated into clinic websites to inform sexual health care or follow-up service.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsSexual and Gender MinoritiesSexually Transmitted DiseasesBayes TheoremHomosexuality, MaleHumansMachine LearningMaleMass ScreeningSexual Behavior

Identifiers

PMID35610227
PMCPMC9128330

What Socratic holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.