Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35881639›Full record

ArticlePloS one2022

Prediction models used in the progression of chronic kidney disease: A scoping review.

David K E Lim, James H Boyd, Elizabeth Thomas, Aron Chakera, Sawitchaya Tippaya, Ashley Irish, Justin Manuel, Kim Betts, Suzanne Robinson

Abstract readScoping Review
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

David K E LimCurtin School of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia.ORCID 0000-0001-8732-4320
James H BoydCurtin School of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia.
Elizabeth ThomasCurtin School of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia.
Aron ChakeraMedical School, The University of Western Australia, Perth, WA, Australia.
Sawitchaya TippayaCurtin Institute for Computation, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia.
Ashley IrishWA Country Health Service, Perth, WA, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-9577-3764
Justin ManuelWA Country Health Service, Perth, WA, Australia.
Kim BettsCurtin School of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia.
Suzanne RobinsonCurtin School of Population Health, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo provide a review of prediction models that have been used to measure clinical or pathological progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

designScoping review. DATA SOURCES: Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL and Scopus from the year 2011 to 17th February 2022. STUDY SELECTION: All English written studies that are published in peer-reviewed journals in any country, that developed at least a statistical or computational model that predicted the risk of CKD progression. DATA EXTRACTION: Eligible studies for full text review were assessed on the methods that were used to predict the progression of CKD. The type of information extracted included: the author(s), title of article, year of publication, study dates, study location, number of participants, study design, predicted outcomes, type of prediction model, prediction variables used, validation assessment, limitations and implications.

resultsFrom 516 studies, 33 were included for full-text review. A qualitative analysis of the articles was compared following the extracted information. The study populations across the studies were heterogenous and data acquired by the studies were sourced from different levels and locations of healthcare systems. 31 studies implemented supervised models, and 2 studies included unsupervised models. Regardless of the model used, the predicted outcome included measurement of risk of progression towards end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) of related definitions, over given time intervals. However, there is a lack of reporting consistency on details of the development of their prediction models.

conclusionsResearchers are working towards producing an effective model to provide key insights into the progression of CKD. This review found that cox regression modelling was predominantly used among the small number of studies in the review. This made it difficult to perform a comparison between ML algorithms, more so when different validation methods were used in different cohort types. There needs to be increased investment in a more consistent and reproducible approach for future studies looking to develop risk prediction models for CKD progression.

Indexed as

Kidney Failure, ChronicRenal Insufficiency, ChronicDelivery of Health CareDisease ProgressionHumans

Identifiers

PMID35881639
PMCPMC9321365

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.