Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35897382›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2022

Generating High-Granularity COVID-19 Territorial Early Alerts Using Emergency Medical Services and Machine Learning.

Lorenzo Gianquintieri, Maria Antonia Brovelli, Andrea Pagliosa, Gabriele Dassi, Piero Maria Brambilla, Rodolfo Bonora, Giuseppe Maria Sechi, Enrico Gianluca Caiani

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
1.4field-weighted citation impact, top 19% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 9 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. AI applications in disaster governance with health approach: A scoping review.Archives of public health = Archives belges de sante publique · 2025
    Pooled it
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Lorenzo GianquintieriElectronics, Information and Biomedical Engineering Department, Politecnico di Milano, 20133 Milan, Italy.
Maria Antonia BrovelliCivil and Environmental Engineering Department, Politecnico di Milano, 20133 Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0003-3161-5561
Andrea PagliosaAzienda Regionale Emergenza Urgenza (AREU), 20124 Milan, Italy.
Gabriele DassiAzienda Regionale Emergenza Urgenza (AREU), 20124 Milan, Italy.
Piero Maria BrambillaAzienda Regionale Emergenza Urgenza (AREU), 20124 Milan, Italy.
Rodolfo BonoraAzienda Regionale Emergenza Urgenza (AREU), 20124 Milan, Italy.
Giuseppe Maria SechiAzienda Regionale Emergenza Urgenza (AREU), 20124 Milan, Italy.
Enrico Gianluca CaianiElectronics, Information and Biomedical Engineering Department, Politecnico di Milano, 20133 Milan, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-1770-6486
Agenzia Regionale Emergenza Urgenza · ITInstitute of Electronics, Computer and Telecommunication Engineering · ITIstituto per il Rilevamento Elettromagnetico dell'Ambiente · ITPolitecnico di Milano · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The pandemic of COVID-19 has posed unprecedented threats to healthcare systems worldwide. Great efforts were spent to fight the emergency, with the widespread use of cutting-edge technologies, especially big data analytics and AI. In this context, the present study proposes a novel combination of geographical filtering and machine learning (ML) for the development and optimization of a COVID-19 early alert system based on Emergency Medical Services (EMS) data, for the anticipated identification of outbreaks with very high granularity, up to single municipalities. The model, implemented for the region of Lombardy, Italy, showed robust performance, with an overall 80% accuracy in identifying the active spread of the disease. The further post-processing of the output was implemented to classify the territory into five risk classes, resulting in effectively anticipating the demand for interventions by EMS. This model shows state-of-art potentiality for future applications in the early detection of the burden of the impact of COVID-19, or other similar epidemics, on the healthcare system.

Indexed as

COVID-19Emergency Medical ServicesDisease OutbreaksHumansMachine LearningPandemicsCOVID-19emergency medical servicesgeo-AIgeographic information systemhealth geomaticsmachine learningresources managementspatial filtering

Identifiers

PMID35897382
PMCPMC9330211
OpenAlexW4287218241

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.