Evidence map›Paper›PMID 35947758›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of epidemiology2023

Comparison of intergenerational instrumental variable analyses of body mass index and mortality in UK Biobank.

Ciarrah-Jane Barry, David Carslake, Kaitlin H Wade, Eleanor Sanderson, George Davey Smith

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of epidemiology, 2023. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Causal models and causal modelling in obesity: foundations, methods and evidence.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2023
    Review
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Ciarrah-Jane BarryMedical Research Council (MRC) Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-2088-0442
David CarslakeMedical Research Council (MRC) Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
Kaitlin H WadeMedical Research Council (MRC) Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3362-6280
Eleanor SandersonMedical Research Council (MRC) Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0001-5188-5775
George Davey SmithMedical Research Council (MRC) Integrative Epidemiology Unit at the University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-1407-8314

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_17228Medical Research Council MC_QA137853Medical Research Council MC_UU_00011/1Medical Research Council MC_UU_00032/1Wellcome Trust 202802/Z/16/ZWellcome Trust 204813/Z/16/ZWellcome Trust 218495/Z/19/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAn increasing proportion of people have a body mass index (BMI) classified as overweight or obese and published studies disagree whether this will be beneficial or detrimental to health. We applied and evaluated two intergenerational instrumental variable methods to estimate the average causal effect of BMI on mortality in a cohort with many deaths: the parents of UK Biobank participants.

methodsIn Cox regression models, parental BMI was instrumented by offspring BMI using an 'offspring as instrument' (OAI) estimation and by offspring BMI-related genetic variants in a 'proxy-genotype Mendelian randomization' (PGMR) estimation.

resultsComplete-case analyses were performed in parents of 233 361 UK Biobank participants with full phenotypic, genotypic and covariate data. The PGMR method suggested that higher BMI increased mortality with hazard ratios per kg/m2 of 1.02 (95% CI: 1.01, 1.04) for mothers and 1.04 (95% CI: 1.02, 1.05) for fathers. The OAI method gave considerably higher estimates, which varied according to the parent-offspring pairing between 1.08 (95% CI: 1.06, 1.10; mother-son) and 1.23 (95% CI: 1.16, 1.29; father-daughter).

conclusionBoth methods supported a causal role of higher BMI increasing mortality, although caution is required regarding the immediate causal interpretation of these exact values. Evidence of instrument invalidity from measured covariates was limited for the OAI method and minimal for the PGMR method. The methods are complementary for interrogating the average putative causal effects because the biases are expected to differ between them.

Indexed as

Biological Specimen BanksObesityBody Mass IndexFemaleHumansMendelian Randomization AnalysisMothersUnited Kingdombody mass indexinstrumental variableintergenerationalMendelian randomizationmortalityoffspring as instrumentproxy genotypeUK Biobank

Identifiers

PMID35947758
PMCPMC10114047

What Socratic holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the Socratic graph.